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Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co (001260) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY

SK Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co 001260 · SHE
Price¥17.33
Fair Value¥7.88
Upside-54.5%
Quality45/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.20% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/14)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: Low Range ¥5.91 – ¥9.85 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price +6.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

¥34.65 ¥12.36 Fair Value ¥7.88 Feb 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

42‑month range ¥12.36 – ¥34.65 · fair‑value band ¥5.91 – ¥9.85 · the ¥17.33 price screens above the ¥7.88 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co (001260) currently trades at ¥17.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.88, implying the stock looks roughly 54.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co generated revenue of 572M CNY at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue declined 3.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 101M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.91 (bear case) to ¥9.85 (bull case); at ¥17.33, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -55%, 001260 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.27 ¥7.71 ¥11.42 80
Residual Income ¥5.45 ¥5.47 ¥5.12 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.17 ¥7.79 ¥10.97 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥5.26 ¥7.81 ¥11.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.94 ¥8.93 ¥13.56 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.17 ¥7.82 ¥11.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥7.27 ¥11.92 ¥17.56 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.08 ¥9.60 ¥13.45 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.04 ¥7.47 ¥10.94 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.49 ¥10.32 ¥15.81 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥5.74 ¥8.71 ¥12.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.43 ¥9.23 ¥12.50 54
Lynch FV ¥2.24 ¥3.20 ¥4.16 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.24 ¥3.20 ¥4.16 46
EPV ¥4.61 ¥5.15 ¥5.62 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥5.91 ¥7.88 ¥9.85 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.51 ¥6.01 ¥7.51 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.56 ¥6.09 ¥7.61 55
EV/EBIT ¥7.22 ¥9.23 ¥11.24 53
EV/EBITDA ¥9.12 ¥11.76 ¥14.40 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.26 ¥7.00 ¥8.74 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.62 ¥4.85 ¥7.24 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.27 ¥7.71 ¥11.42 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.17 ¥7.79 ¥10.97 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥5.45 ¥5.47 ¥5.12 76
ROIC Compounder ¥4.61 ¥5.15 ¥5.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥4.21 ¥6.02 ¥7.82 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥8.71) versus Earnings-Based (¥3.20). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 572M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -3.1%
Net margin 6.5%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow 41.0M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 55.7
More key figures
Operating margin 4.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3200
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -66.7%
Net cash 101M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 55
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 18
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, and sale of automotive interior materials and products. It offers car carpets and floor mats. The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Yantai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co reported revenue of ¥576M in FY2025 versus ¥414M in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥41.2M in FY2025, compounding −13.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
576M CNY
Latest YoY
−3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 ¥414M
FY22 ¥449M
FY23 ¥490M
FY24 ¥599M
FY25 ¥576M
Net income −13.3%/yr
FY21 ¥72.7M
FY22 ¥64.3M
FY23 ¥47.9M
FY24 ¥48.3M
FY25 ¥41.2M

001260 screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001260

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 641 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −55% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 55.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.46× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.58× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 7.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 24.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 24
PAST 18 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 24 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).

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Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co (001260) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.88 versus a price of ¥17.33, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 001260?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co is ¥7.88 (as of Jul 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥17.33.
What is the quality score of 001260?
Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co (001260)?
Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 572M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001260?
The net profit margin of Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co is about 6.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co pay a dividend?
Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 21, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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