Sichuan Gold Co (001337) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 18.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +30.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥43.54). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The model range is unusually wide (¥12.03 to ¥43.54). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
41‑month range ¥9.83 – ¥72.92 · fair‑value band ¥12.03 – ¥43.54 · the ¥47.77 price screens above the ¥15.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Sichuan Gold Co (001337) currently trades at ¥47.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.77, implying the stock looks roughly 67.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sichuan Gold Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 48.9%. Revenue grew 130.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 35.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 28.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.03 (bear case) to ¥43.54 (bull case); at ¥47.77, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 109% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at -67%, 001337 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥42.24) versus Asset-Based (¥2.92). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sichuan Gold Co., Ltd. engages in the gold mining business. The company offers mineral products and mining machinery, and consulting and after-sales services for mineral and engineering geology, and geological exploration. It also provides gold concentrate powder and alloy gold. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Rongda Gold Co., Ltd.
Full company description
Sichuan Gold Co., Ltd. engages in the gold mining business. The company offers mineral products and mining machinery, and consulting and after-sales services for mineral and engineering geology, and geological exploration. It also provides gold concentrate powder and alloy gold. The company was formerly known as Sichuan Rongda Gold Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sichuan Gold Co., Ltd. in May 2024. Sichuan Gold Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in Chengdu, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sichuan Gold Co reported revenue of ¥1.0B in FY2025 versus ¥526M in FY2021, a compound +18.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥466M in FY2025, compounding +32.0%/yr from FY2021.
001337 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Newmont Corporation →
Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
Compare Sichuan Gold Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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