Nanchang Mineral Systems Co (001360) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from ¥5.59 to ¥5.14 (−8.1%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 67% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
40‑month range ¥9.97 – ¥29.58 · fair‑value band ¥3.86 – ¥6.11 · the ¥15.45 price screens above the ¥5.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Nanchang Mineral Systems Co (001360) currently trades at ¥15.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.14, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nanchang Mineral Systems Co generated revenue of 863M CNY at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 21.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 93.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.86 (bear case) to ¥6.11 (bull case); at ¥15.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -67%, 001360 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.14) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.22). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nanchang Mineral Systems Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, design, production, sale and after-market services of crushing and screening equipment related to sand and gravel aggregates and metal mines in China, South Africa, Malaysia, Australia, Sweden, Singapore, and Zimbabwe.
Full company description
Nanchang Mineral Systems Co., Ltd. engages in research and development, design, production, sale and after-market services of crushing and screening equipment related to sand and gravel aggregates and metal mines in China, South Africa, Malaysia, Australia, Sweden, Singapore, and Zimbabwe. It offers crushing equipment, such as GC gyratory, JC jaw, CC cone, MC multi-cylinder cone, and HS and VS impact crushers; and screening equipment, including HFS/V series hydraulic high frequency, NFS flip-flow, MLS-B series banana, YKR-H/SK series circular, ZKR series linear, NJ exciter series, YKR/ZKR-NJ series, and MOS series self-synchronous elliptical screens. The company also provides mobile crushing plants, such as MP and MT series mobile crushing plants, and MSP series sand-making plants; and auxiliary equipment comprising GPF and HPF series grizzly feeders, and GZG series self-synchronization pan feeders. Its products have applications in the mining, hydropower, nuclear power, stone, building materials, chemical, and other industries. The company also exports its products. Nanchang Mineral Systems Co., Ltd. was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Nanchang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nanchang Mineral Systems Co reported revenue of ¥830M in FY2025 versus ¥725M in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥50.0M in FY2025, compounding −17.8%/yr from FY2021.
001360 screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $952.41 | $307.83 | -68% |
| Deere & Company DE | $597.24 | $187.86 | -69% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 336.60 | kr 288.08 | -14% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $126.20 | $94.80 | -25% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 251.90 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €69.40 | €219.41 | +216% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.65 | ¥20.84 | +12% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.39 | ¥11.79 | +41% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.00 | HK$53.51 | +31% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥32.29 | ¥42.00 | +30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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