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China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co (001914) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap 9.6B CNY

CM China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co 001914 · SHE
Price¥8.71
Fair Value¥16.77
Upside+92.5%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 3.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.75% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range ¥13.23 – ¥20.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price +3.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 93% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥13.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥20.86 ¥8.07 Fair Value ¥16.77 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.07 – ¥20.86 · fair‑value band ¥13.23 – ¥20.31 · the ¥8.71 price screens below the ¥16.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co (001914) currently trades at ¥8.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.77, implying the stock looks roughly 92.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co generated revenue of 19.6B CNY at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 5.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥13.23 (bear case) to ¥20.31 (bull case); at ¥8.71, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at 93%, 001914 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥25.24 ¥44.66 ¥74.09 80
Residual Income ¥7.95 ¥8.20 ¥8.23 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥17.30 ¥25.74 ¥37.51 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥25.86 ¥42.73 ¥83.92 38
5Y Revenue Exit ¥17.30 ¥25.89 ¥37.68 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥19.62 ¥31.04 ¥45.85 41
10Y Revenue Exit ¥19.67 ¥29.14 ¥44.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥21.51 ¥32.99 ¥51.41 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.48 ¥4.95 ¥7.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.48 ¥4.28 ¥5.23 61
Multiples
P/S Multiple ¥7.92 ¥10.56 ¥13.20 58
P/B Multiple ¥7.92 ¥10.56 ¥13.20 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.00 ¥24.99 ¥29.98 53
EV/EBITDA ¥17.44 ¥21.57 ¥25.71 54
EV/Revenue ¥13.29 ¥16.83 ¥20.36 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.09 ¥6.82 ¥10.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥25.24 ¥44.66 ¥74.09 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥17.30 ¥25.74 ¥37.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.95 ¥8.20 ¥8.23 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥31.04) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.28). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 19.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.8%
Net margin 3.4%
Return on equity 6.2%
Free cash flow 1.6B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 6.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.6300
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.9%
Net cash 5.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 71
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 92
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 75
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 16
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate development and management. It also offers property and asset management services, and other services. The company was formerly known as AVIC SUNDA Holding Company Limited and changed its name to China Merchants Property Operation and Service Co., Ltd. in December 2019.

Full company description

China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co., Ltd. engages in the real estate development and management. It also offers property and asset management services, and other services. The company was formerly known as AVIC SUNDA Holding Company Limited and changed its name to China Merchants Property Operation and Service Co., Ltd. in December 2019. China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co., Ltd. was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co reported revenue of ¥19.3B in FY2025 versus ¥10.6B in FY2021, a compound +16.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥655M in FY2025, compounding +6.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
19.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+12.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.4%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+18.2%
Revenue +16.1%/yr
FY21 ¥10.6B
FY22 ¥13.0B
FY23 ¥15.6B
FY24 ¥17.2B
FY25 ¥19.3B
Net income +6.3%/yr
FY21 ¥513M
FY22 ¥594M
FY23 ¥736M
FY24 ¥840M
FY25 ¥655M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/001914

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +93% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.90× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.49× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.9× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 3.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 34 · sector 10
PAST 25 · sector 16
HEALTH 99 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 55 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co (001914) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥16.77 versus a price of ¥8.71, about +93% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 001914?
Our model-based fair value for China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co is ¥16.77 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥8.71.
What is the quality score of 001914?
China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co (001914)?
China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 001914?
The net profit margin of China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co is about 3.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co pay a dividend?
China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 25, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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