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Cellnex Telecom, S.A (CLNX) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · ES · Market cap €16.5B

CT Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX · MC
Price€26.80
Fair Value€21.64
Upside-19.3%
Quality34/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -8.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (1/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range €8.97 – €21.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +5.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€21.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (34/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (€8.97 to €21.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€58.97 €24.19 Fair Value €21.64 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €24.19 – €58.97 · fair‑value band €8.97 – €21.64 · the €26.80 price screens above the €21.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Cellnex Telecom, S.A (CLNX) currently trades at €26.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €21.64, implying the stock looks roughly 19.3% overvalued today. We read business quality at 34/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Cellnex Telecom, S.A generated revenue of €4.1B at a net margin of -8.4%. Revenue declined 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. Net debt stands at €22.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.97 (bear case) to €21.64 (bull case); at €26.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -19%, CLNX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €0.1100 €21.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF €8.84 74
Gordon GGM €0.1600 €0.3400 €0.5400 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €22.13 38
Owner Earnings €7.87 €44.41 31
5Y Revenue Exit €9.94 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €14.36 €55.07 €129.72 41
10Y Revenue Exit €8.82 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €6.87 €49.50 €130.18 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.1600 €0.3400 €0.5400 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.1600 €0.2900 €0.3600 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA €25.22 €41.37 €57.53 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €9.13 €12.24 €18.27 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €0.1100 €21.93 80
Rev-Margin DCF €8.84 74

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€49.50) versus Growth DCF (€0.1100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.4%
Net margin -8.4%
Return on equity -2.4%
Free cash flow €526M FY2025
Operating margin 16.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) €-0.5200
EPS growth (YoY) -85.0%
Net debt €22.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 34/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Cellnex Telecom, S.A. engages in the management of terrestrial telecommunications infrastructures in France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain, Poland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, Ireland, and Austria.

Full company description

Cellnex Telecom, S.A. engages in the management of terrestrial telecommunications infrastructures in France, Italy, the United Kingdom, Spain, Poland, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, Ireland, and Austria. It operates through four segments: Towers; DAS, Small Cells, and RAN as a Service; Fiber, Connectivity, and Housing Services; and Broadcast. The Towers segment provides integrated network passive infrastructure services; other wireless telecommunications; and broadband network operators services, as well as colocation and engineering services. The DAS, Small Cells, and RAN as a Service segment offers services, such as RAN as a Service, which entails the emission and transmission active services; PPDR services comprising active infrastructure management for public administrations, including TETRA and 4G/LTE mission critical service networks; operation and maintenance; infrastructure support services; and other services that include smart cities/Internet of Things. The Fiber, Connectivity, and Housing Services segment provides data transport through fiber, including fibre-to-the-tower (FTTT), connectivity, backhaul transmission, and hosting services in edge data centers infrastructure. The broadcast segment engages in the distribution and transmission of television and radio signals; operation and maintenance of broadcasting networks; provision of connectivity for media content and over-the-top (OTT) broadcasting services; and other services, as well as offers coverage of the digital terrestrial television (DTT) services. The company also offers fixed and mobile telecommunication services; and provision of telecommunications equipment. In addition, it constructs and operates optic fiber telecommunications. The company was formerly known as Abertis Telecom Terrestre, S.A.U. and changed its name to Cellnex Telecom, S.A. in April 2015. Cellnex Telecom, S.A. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cellnex Telecom, S.A reported revenue of €4.4B in FY2025 versus €2.5B in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was −€361M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 61/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.4B
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+23.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+18.6%
Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY21 €2.5B
FY22 €3.2B
FY23 €3.8B
FY24 €4.1B
FY25 €4.4B
Net income
FY21 −€386M
FY22 −€297M
FY23 −€297M
FY24 −€28.0M
FY25 −€361M

CLNX screens 19% overvalued. Compare with Vingroup Joint Stock Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cellnex Telecom, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CLNX

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 522 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 34 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −19% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Below median
Revenue growth -8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 1.40× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.57× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.61× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 36.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 8 · sector 40
FUTURE 0 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 30 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cellnex Telecom, S.A (CLNX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €21.64 versus a price of €26.80, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CLNX?
Our model-based fair value for Cellnex Telecom, S.A is €21.64 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €26.80.
What is the quality score of CLNX?
Cellnex Telecom, S.A has a Quality Score of 34/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cellnex Telecom, S.A (CLNX)?
Cellnex Telecom, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.1B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CLNX?
The net profit margin of Cellnex Telecom, S.A is about -8.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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