Greatoo Inc (002031) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Greatoo Inc ¥0.58, price ¥5.28, upside -89.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.64 – ¥10.99 · fair‑value band ¥0.4000 – ¥0.8200 · the ¥5.28 price screens above the ¥0.5800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Inc. researches and develops, manufactures, and sells tire molds, curing presses, industrial robots, and precision machine tools in China and internationally. It also offers intelligent production lines and Nc machine tools. The company was formerly known as Greatoo Inc.
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Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Inc. researches and develops, manufactures, and sells tire molds, curing presses, industrial robots, and precision machine tools in China and internationally. It also offers intelligent production lines and Nc machine tools. The company was formerly known as Greatoo Inc. and changed its name to Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Inc. in October 2015. Greatoo Intelligent Equipment Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Jieyang, China.
Stock analysis
Greatoo Inc (002031) currently trades at ¥5.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.5800, implying the stock looks roughly 810.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥0.6000 per share, and 0 of the 10 models we run sit above the ¥5.28 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥0.3100, and 10 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥0.4000 (bear) to ¥0.8200 (bull), the price of ¥5.28 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Greatoo Inc reported revenue of 788M CNY in FY2025 versus 2.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound −22.7%/yr. Reported net income was −232M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 12.9B CNY (≈ $1.9B) · P/S ratio 18.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.1100 · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin −29.5% · Return on equity −11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.1% · Operating margin −12.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −89%, 002031 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥0.4000Fair Value ¥0.5800Bull ¥0.8200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.12/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.2% a year
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.2% (2020) → −7.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+58.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +56.1% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 662 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−33% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−13% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−39% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.5% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.69× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF31.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.96× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)10· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Greatoo Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002031
Frequently asked questions
Is Greatoo Inc (002031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.5800 versus a price of ¥5.28, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002031?
Our model-based fair value for Greatoo Inc is ¥0.5800 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.28.
What is the quality score of 002031?
Greatoo Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥0.5800 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.4000, optimistic scenario ¥0.8200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Greatoo Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥0.5800, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥5.28 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.4000, optimistic scenario ¥0.8200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Greatoo Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 713M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Greatoo Inc pay a dividend?
Greatoo Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Greatoo Inc (002031)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Greatoo Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +58.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -14.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002031 use?
Our models discount Greatoo Inc at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.36, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Greatoo Inc that is +58.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Greatoo Inc (002031) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Greatoo Inc grew -14.0 % a year. The price currently implies +58.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Greatoo Inc (002031) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Greatoo Inc (+58.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.53 %: that much free cash flow Greatoo Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Greatoo Inc it is ¥0.5800 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.28. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Greatoo Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002031 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.28, fair value ¥0.5800, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002031?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.28); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥0.5800). For Greatoo Inc the two are ¥4.70 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Greatoo Inc worth?
The market values Greatoo Inc at about 12.9B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.28; our models calculate a fair value of ¥0.5800 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002031?
Our models span a range for Greatoo Inc: cautious scenario ¥0.4000, base ¥0.5800, optimistic ¥0.8200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.28). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 002031?
The PEG ratio of Greatoo Inc is 1.96 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Balance-sheet figures for Greatoo Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −11.7%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002031 from its 52-week high?
Greatoo Inc trades at ¥5.28, about 47% below its 52-week high of ¥9.96 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥0.5800 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Greatoo Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Greatoo Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.28, calculated fair value ¥0.5800 (−89%), Quality Score 43/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002031 calculated?
We run Greatoo Inc through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥0.5800, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Greatoo Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥5.28. Our model-based fair value is ¥0.5800, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Greatoo Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.8200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.4000 to ¥0.8200) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Greatoo Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The market capitalisation of Greatoo Inc is 12.9B CNY (≈ $1.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Greatoo Inc is 18.0 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Earnings per share at Greatoo Inc are ¥−0.1100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The dividend yield of Greatoo Inc is 0.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The net margin of Greatoo Inc is −29.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Greatoo Inc is −11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Greatoo Inc is −3.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Greatoo Inc (002031)?
The operating margin of Greatoo Inc is −12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Revenue at Greatoo Inc is growing −38.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Greatoo Inc (002031)?
Earnings per share at Greatoo Inc are growing +553% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Greatoo Inc (002031) carry?
The net debt of Greatoo Inc is 860M CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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