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Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co (002048) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 23.3B CNY

NH Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co 002048 · SHE
Price¥19.40
Fair Value¥15.86
Upside-18.2%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.96% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥12.14 – ¥19.83 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥35.97 to ¥15.86 (−55.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −21.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from ¥12.14 (bear) to ¥19.83 (bull), base ¥15.86. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥40.05 ¥9.50 Fair Value ¥15.86 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥9.50 – ¥40.05 · fair‑value band ¥12.14 – ¥19.83 · the ¥19.40 price screens above the ¥15.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co (002048) currently trades at ¥19.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥15.86, implying the stock looks roughly 18.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co generated revenue of 25.1B CNY at a net margin of 1.7%. Revenue declined 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥12.14 (bear case) to ¥19.83 (bull case); at ¥19.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -18%, 002048 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥27.48 ¥52.34 ¥91.53 80
Residual Income ¥10.41 ¥10.23 ¥9.00 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥27.90 ¥49.61 ¥79.85 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥28.14 ¥49.65 ¥103.11 38
Owner Earnings ¥9.45 ¥15.92 ¥28.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥27.90 ¥50.60 ¥83.07 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥35.15 ¥66.64 ¥108.58 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥16.32 ¥24.96 ¥35.04 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥26.92 ¥49.21 ¥86.97 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥32.78 ¥61.45 ¥109.88 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥19.91 ¥29.62 ¥43.85 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.49 ¥20.29 ¥28.23 54
Lynch FV ¥5.73 ¥8.19 ¥10.65 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.73 ¥8.19 ¥10.65 46
EPV ¥25.18 ¥28.85 ¥32.06 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥8.48 ¥11.30 ¥14.13 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.55 ¥8.74 ¥10.92 58
P/B Multiple ¥6.55 ¥8.74 ¥10.92 55
EV/EBIT ¥39.07 ¥51.03 ¥62.99 53
EV/EBITDA ¥40.00 ¥52.28 ¥64.55 54
EV/Revenue ¥27.37 ¥37.74 ¥48.10 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥7.06 ¥9.46 ¥14.11 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥27.48 ¥52.34 ¥91.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥27.90 ¥49.61 ¥79.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.41 ¥10.23 ¥9.00 76
ROIC Compounder ¥29.56 ¥40.67 ¥56.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.65 ¥12.35 ¥16.06 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥49.61) versus Earnings-Based (¥8.19). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 25.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -17.4%
Net margin 1.7%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow 1.4B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 53.0
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.5400
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.7%
Net cash 1.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 52
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd. designs, develops, produces, and sells automotive parts in the People's Republic of China and internationally.

Full company description

Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd. designs, develops, produces, and sells automotive parts in the People's Republic of China and internationally. The company offers automotive interior and exterior trim, including dashboards, door panels, center consoles, headliners, carpets, trim strips, and rearview mirror modules; body metal parts comprising body structural components and battery box housings; and electronic and electrical accessories, such as wiring harness protection systems, high-voltage protection plastic components, and energy storage module plastic parts. It serves traditional OEM automakers and intelligent electric vehicle manufacturers. Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co reported revenue of ¥26.2B in FY2025 versus ¥17.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥418M in FY2025, compounding −24.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
26.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y)
+25.2%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 ¥17.6B
FY22 ¥19.7B
FY23 ¥23.3B
FY24 ¥26.3B
FY25 ¥26.2B
Net income −24.2%/yr
FY21 ¥1.3B
FY22 ¥985M
FY23 ¥1.0B
FY24 ¥953M
FY25 ¥418M

002048 screens 18% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002048

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −18% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 53.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.03× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 2.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 9 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 21 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 19 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co (002048) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥15.86 versus a price of ¥19.40, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002048?
Our model-based fair value for Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co is ¥15.86 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥19.40.
What is the quality score of 002048?
Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co (002048)?
Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002048?
The net profit margin of Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co is about 1.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co pay a dividend?
Ningbo Huaxiang Electronic Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.96% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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