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DHC Software Co (002065) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 23.5B CNY

DS DHC Software Co 002065 · SHE
Price¥7.35
Fair Value¥3.00
Upside-59.2%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.69% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.14 – ¥3.31 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +8.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 59% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.31). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥14.34 ¥4.26 Fair Value ¥3.00 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.26 – ¥14.34 · fair‑value band ¥2.14 – ¥3.31 · the ¥7.35 price screens above the ¥3.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

DHC Software Co (002065) currently trades at ¥7.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.00, implying the stock looks roughly 59.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, DHC Software Co generated revenue of 12.7B CNY at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue declined 7.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.5%. Net debt stands at 4.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.14 (bear case) to ¥3.31 (bull case); at ¥7.35, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -59%, 002065 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥13.63 ¥24.33 ¥43.22 80
Residual Income ¥2.87 ¥2.86 ¥2.59 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.40 ¥9.07 ¥12.68 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥13.87 ¥25.97 ¥48.23 38
Owner Earnings ¥2.71 ¥4.38 ¥7.47 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥6.40 ¥8.98 ¥12.21 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.72 ¥9.66 ¥13.16 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥6.36 ¥8.90 ¥11.67 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥8.66 ¥12.07 ¥16.91 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥8.95 ¥12.58 ¥17.74 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥8.71 ¥12.01 ¥16.44 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.01 ¥5.38 ¥7.44 54
Lynch FV ¥1.48 ¥2.12 ¥2.75 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.48 ¥2.12 ¥2.75 46
EPV ¥2.93 ¥3.26 ¥3.56 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.8300 ¥1.73 ¥2.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.8300 ¥1.46 ¥1.82 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.23 ¥2.98 ¥3.72 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.90 ¥2.53 ¥3.16 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.90 ¥2.53 ¥3.16 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.09 ¥5.14 ¥6.20 53
EV/EBITDA ¥3.69 ¥4.62 ¥5.54 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.05 ¥3.97 ¥4.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.92 ¥2.58 ¥3.84 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥13.63 ¥24.33 ¥43.22 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.40 ¥9.07 ¥12.68 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.87 ¥2.86 ¥2.59 76
ROIC Compounder ¥2.93 ¥3.26 ¥3.56 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.14 ¥3.05 ¥3.97 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.66) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 12.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -7.4%
Net margin 3.8%
Return on equity 4.5%
Free cash flow 3.0B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 48.8
More key figures
Operating margin 2.8%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.2%
Net debt 4.2B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 95
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

DHC Software Co.,Ltd. provides application software development, computer information system integration, and information technology services for the financial, healthcare, government, water conservancy, public security, and telecommunications sectors in China.

Full company description

DHC Software Co.,Ltd. provides application software development, computer information system integration, and information technology services for the financial, healthcare, government, water conservancy, public security, and telecommunications sectors in China. The company offers medical products and solutions, such as smart hospital, health, elderly care, and medical insurance, as well as internet healthcare products. It also provides financial products and solutions for banks, trusts, consumer finance companies, finance companies, leasing companies, auto finance, and other financial institutions; and cloud and smart city products and solutions comprising smart city blueprint planning, delivery integration, industry applications, digital infrastructure, and operation hubs. In addition, the company offers cloud products and solutions, including industry 4.0, low voltage, commercial image file management, cybersecurity, enterprise management, emergency management solutions, data platform and public security industry solutions, Donghua Pengxiao smart all-in-one machine, public safety, contract and rule of law software, enterprise services, logistics industry solutions, water conservancy industry solutions, and tobacco industry solutions; and system integration industry solutions. Further, it provides wind turbine vibration monitoring and diagnosis systems. The company was formerly known as Beijing DHC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd and changed its name to DHC Software Co.,Ltd. in June 2009. DHC Software Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DHC Software Co reported revenue of ¥12.9B in FY2025 versus ¥10.9B in FY2021, a compound +4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥477M in FY2025, compounding +1.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
12.9B CNY
Latest YoY
−3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y)
+20.4%
Revenue +4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥10.9B
FY22 ¥11.8B
FY23 ¥11.5B
FY24 ¥13.3B
FY25 ¥12.9B
Net income +1.0%/yr
FY21 ¥460M
FY22 ¥400M
FY23 ¥438M
FY24 ¥500M
FY25 ¥477M

002065 screens 59% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DHC Software Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002065

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside −59% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.90× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 31.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.52× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 38
PAST 18 · sector 13
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 28

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DHC Software Co (002065) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.00 versus a price of ¥7.35, about −59% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002065?
Our model-based fair value for DHC Software Co is ¥3.00 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥7.35.
What is the quality score of 002065?
DHC Software Co has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DHC Software Co (002065)?
DHC Software Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002065?
The net profit margin of DHC Software Co is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DHC Software Co pay a dividend?
DHC Software Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.69% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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