Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd HK$0.05, price HK$0.08, upside -34.8%, quality 28 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0500 – HK$0.2280 · fair‑value band HK$0.0461 – HK$0.0722 · the HK$0.0840 price screens above the HK$0.0548 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Great China Holdings (Hong Kong) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment business in the People's Republic of China. The company offers hotel management, financial consultancy, trust management, trading, department stores, and ports and logistics services. It also operates a resort.
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Great China Holdings (Hong Kong) Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development and investment business in the People's Republic of China. The company offers hotel management, financial consultancy, trust management, trading, department stores, and ports and logistics services. It also operates a resort. The company was formerly known as Great China Properties Holdings Limited and changed its name to Great China Holdings (Hong Kong) Limited in July 2022. Great China Holdings (Hong Kong) Limited was incorporated in 1954 and is headquartered in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021) currently trades at HK$0.0840, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0548, 34.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$0.0461 (bear) to HK$0.0722 (bull), the price of HK$0.0840 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Great China Properties Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$61.1M in FY2025 versus HK$10.0M in FY2021, a compound +57.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$148M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$334M (≈ $42.6M) · P/S ratio 4.46 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0100 · Net margin −245% · Return on equity −23.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin −18.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$60.6M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −35%, 0021 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.0461Fair Value HK$0.0548Bull HK$0.0722
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.9/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−53.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +17.3% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−16.0% (2020) → −25.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 540 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−34.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−0.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−18.6% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−72.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.70× · Cheaper than median
PEG2.73× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 64
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Great China Properties Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0021
Frequently asked questions
Is Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0548 versus a price of HK$0.0840, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0021?
Our model-based fair value for Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is HK$0.0548 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0840.
What is the quality score of 0021?
Great China Properties Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 28/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0548 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.0461, optimistic scenario HK$0.0722. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Great China Properties Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0548, about −35% upside versus a price of HK$0.0840 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.0461, optimistic scenario HK$0.0722. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Great China Properties Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$60.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Great China Properties Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.0548 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0840. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Great China Properties Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0021 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0840, fair value HK$0.0548, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0021?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0840); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0548). For Great China Properties Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.0292 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Great China Properties Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Great China Properties Holdings Ltd at about HK$334M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0840; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0548 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0021?
Our models span a range for Great China Properties Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.0461, base HK$0.0548, optimistic HK$0.0722 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0840). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of 0021?
The PEG ratio of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is 2.73 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Balance-sheet figures for Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −23.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 28/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0021 from its 52-week high?
Great China Properties Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.0840, about 28% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1160 and 40% above the low of HK$0.0600 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0548 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Great China Properties Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, KE Holdings, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Great China Properties Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0840, calculated fair value HK$0.0548 (−35%), Quality Score 28/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0021 calculated?
We run Great China Properties Holdings Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0548, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Great China Properties Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$0.0840. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0548, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Great China Properties Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.0722). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (28/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
The market capitalisation of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is HK$334M (≈ $42.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is 4.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Earnings per share at Great China Properties Holdings Ltd are HK$−0.0100. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
The net margin of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is −245% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is −23.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
The operating margin of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is −18.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Revenue at Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is growing −72.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021)?
Earnings per share at Great China Properties Holdings Ltd are growing −71.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021) generate?
The free cash flow of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is −HK$10.7M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Great China Properties Holdings Ltd (0021) carry?
The net debt of Great China Properties Holdings Ltd is HK$1.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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