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Data-driven stock valuation

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd stock ¥3.06, price ¥4.08, that is 25.0% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 8 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE000001QC6

CM Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd logo Thin data Nov 5, 2026

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd

002108 · SHE
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 25% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Revenue last quarter +18% vs. a year ago.
Quality 44/100
Thin margins · 6.5% net margin (TTM)
1.2% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Fair value ¥3.06 · Overvalued
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.6 %/yr in CNY)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/13)
Narrow moat 31/100 · thin data
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥9.66 ¥2.80 Fair Value ¥3.06 May 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.80 – ¥9.66 · fair‑value band ¥1.60 – ¥3.42 · the ¥4.08 price screens above the ¥3.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.

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Company profile

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells PE pipe systems, BOPA films, Li-ion battery separators, and composite pipes in China.

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The company offers PE gas and water supply pipelines, PE nuclear power/large diameter thick wall PE pipelines, PE fittings, and ground source heat pump heat exchange piping systems; dry uni-axial stretching, wet simultaneous biaxial stretching, and coated modified separators; and fiber-reinforced thermoplastic pipes for oil and gas transportation, intelligent cable-embedded coiled pipes, and connection of pipes for oil and gas transportation and intelligent cable-embedded continuous pipes.

It also produces polyamide films, chips, and other plastic products; installation and technical services; microporous and filtration membranes; double-wall corrugated pipes and fittings for drainage and sewage; silicone pipes and fittings; plastic packaging containers and tools; and synthetic materials.

In addition, the company engages in the import and export of goods; house and non-residential real estate leasing; cargo weighing; machinery and equipment rental; equity, asset, and investment management; and research and development of new materials technology.

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Cangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) currently trades at ¥4.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.06, 25% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥2.84 per share, and 1 of the 8 models we run sit above the ¥4.08 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥1.17, and 7 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.60 (bear) to ¥3.42 (bull), the price of ¥4.08 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was 154M CNY in FY2025, compounding −19.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 6.7B CNY (≈ $1.0B) Small · P/E ratio 31.4 · P/S ratio 2.20 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1300 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 6.5% · Return on equity 4.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at −25%, 002108 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.60 Fair Value ¥3.06 Bull ¥3.42
Price ¥4.08 · Downside -25.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0686 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income ¥1.85 ¥1.85 ¥1.90 76
Gordon GGM ¥0.9400 ¥1.70 ¥2.34 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9400 ¥1.47 ¥1.82 67
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.5700 ¥1.78 ¥2.36 65
Lynch FV ¥0.3900 ¥0.5500 ¥0.7200 61
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.9400 ¥1.70 ¥2.34 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.9400 ¥1.47 ¥1.82 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.8900 ¥1.18 ¥1.48 63
P/B Multiple ¥3.38 ¥4.50 ¥5.63 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.29 ¥1.72 ¥2.57 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.85 ¥1.85 ¥1.90 76

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 22
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 17
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 57
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 58
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 61
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 28
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 19
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 73
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−14.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−15.2% vs −5.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 6%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

002108 screens overvalued: fair value 25% below the price. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 304 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −24.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.0% · Below median
Return on assets 1.9% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) 6.5% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) 5.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 17.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.22× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 31.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.43× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.20× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 17.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)1 · sector 52
FUTURE (revenue growth)88 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)16 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)25 · sector 46

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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3M Company MMM $185.15 $73.02 −61% vs 002108
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$112.20 HK$27.75 −75% vs 002108
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002108

Frequently asked questions

Is Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.06 versus a price of ¥4.08, about 25% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002108?
Our model-based fair value for Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is ¥3.06 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥4.08.
What is the quality score of 002108?
Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.06 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.60, optimistic scenario ¥3.42. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.06, about 25% lower versus a price of ¥4.08 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.60, optimistic scenario ¥3.42. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.05 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.2%. The last ex-dividend date was Jun 25, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2007. The payout ratio is 38.5% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd it is ¥3.06 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ¥4.08. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models in 5 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, 002108 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥4.08, fair value ¥3.06, a gap of about −25% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002108?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥4.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.06). For Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd the two are ¥1.02 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd worth?
The market values Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd at about 6.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ¥4.08; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002108?
Our models span a range for Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.60, base ¥3.06, optimistic ¥3.42 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ¥4.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002108?
Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.4 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.06 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings: 27.7. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 17.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 4.0%, debt of 0.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002108 from its 52-week high?
Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd trades at ¥4.08, about 36% below its 52-week high of ¥6.37 and 4% above the low of ¥3.94 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, SGH Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ¥4.08, calculated fair value ¥3.06 (−25%), Quality Score 44/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002108 calculated?
We run Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd through 8 models from 5 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥3.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was ¥4.08. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.06, about 25% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.42). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥1.60 to ¥3.42) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) come from?
Earnings per share at Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd grew +0.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +0.6 %, EBIT margin −0.6 %, tax rate +1.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The market capitalisation of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 6.7B CNY (≈ $1.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 2.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Earnings per share at Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd are ¥0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The dividend yield of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 1.2% (payout 38.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The net margin of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 4.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
The operating margin of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Revenue at Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is growing +17.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108)?
Earnings per share at Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd are growing +11.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) generate?
The free cash flow of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is −819M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd (002108) carry?
The net debt of Cangzhou Mingzhu Plastic Co Ltd is 1.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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