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Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd (002167) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 13.6B CNY (≈ $2.0B) · ISIN CNE1000006R1

What is Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd really worth?

GO Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd 002167 · SHE
Price¥15.24
Fair Value¥3.10
Upside−79.7%
Quality68/100

A solid business, but trading 392% above our fair value of ¥3.10.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +26.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Narrow moat 34/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 12 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥2.29 – ¥4.08

Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 20 days ago

Share price −8.0% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.08). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥26.05 ¥4.14 Fair Value ¥3.10 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.14 – ¥26.05 · fair‑value band ¥2.29 – ¥4.08 · the ¥15.24 price screens above the ¥3.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd (002167) currently trades at ¥15.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.10, implying the stock looks roughly 391.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥7.62 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥15.24 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥0.4600, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.1%. Net debt stands at 123M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.29 (bear case) to ¥4.08 (bull case); at ¥15.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 65% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −80%, 002167 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2024 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0700 per share, which is 2.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥11.07 ¥19.79 ¥34.99 77
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.82 ¥4.48 ¥5.06 77
Growth DCF ¥10.99 ¥18.98 ¥32.55 76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥11.07 ¥19.79 ¥34.99 77
Owner Earnings ¥3.65 ¥6.32 ¥10.98 74
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.20 ¥7.35 ¥10.00 73
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.82 ¥4.48 ¥5.06 77
5Y P/E Exit ¥5.63 ¥8.21 ¥11.04 71
10Y Revenue Exit ¥7.02 ¥9.71 ¥13.41 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥6.17 ¥7.62 ¥9.27 70
10Y P/E Exit ¥7.37 ¥10.35 ¥14.28 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.55 ¥7.24 ¥9.95 64
Lynch FV ¥1.91 ¥2.73 ¥3.55 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥1.91 ¥2.73 ¥3.55 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.2600 ¥0.5500 ¥0.8700 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.2600 ¥0.4600 ¥0.5800 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.91 ¥3.88 ¥4.85 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.24 ¥2.99 ¥3.73 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.91 ¥3.88 ¥4.85 55
EV/EBITDA ¥0.4100 ¥0.4200 ¥0.4300 67
EV/Revenue ¥2.47 ¥3.36 ¥4.26 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.10 ¥1.48 ¥2.21 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.99 ¥18.98 ¥32.55 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥5.20 ¥7.44 ¥10.35 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.95 ¥2.19 ¥3.95 73
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥2.72 ¥3.89 ¥5.06 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥7.62) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.4600). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 217.7
P/S ratio 25.0 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0700 price ÷ EPS = P/E 217.7
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 42.5%
Net margin 11.5% FY2024
Return on equity 3.1% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.6% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.3B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.1% 3y avg +6.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +7.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 641M CNY FY2024
Net debt 123M CNY FY2024 · ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 76
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 57
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of zirconium products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of zirconium products in China and internationally. The company offers zirconium oxychloride, zirconium dioxide, fused zirconia, zirconium silicate, and compound zirconia; ceramic knife and accessories, as well as grinding media products; and zircon sand, titanium concentrate, monazite, composite zirconium oxide, and zirconium oxide ceramic structural parts. Its products are used in solid oxide fuel cells, aerospace, electronic and structural ceramics, bioceramics, color glazes, high-temperature refractory materials, nuclear and new energy, photovoltaics, new energy battery materials, artificial gems, ceramic-based brake pads, dental implants, and optical communication devices. The company also provides technology promotion services. Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Shantou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.5B CNY in FY2024 versus 768M CNY in FY2020, a compound +19.1%/yr. Reported net income was 177M CNY in FY2024.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
1.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+6.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+63.2% (63.0 + 0.2)
Revenue +19.1%/yr
FY20 768M CNY
FY21 1.3B CNY
FY22 1.4B CNY
FY23 1.4B CNY
FY24 1.5B CNY
Net income
FY20 −161M CNY
FY21 151M CNY
FY22 99.1M CNY
FY23 −77.6M CNY
FY24 177M CNY

002167 screens 392% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Basic Industries Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002167

Peer Group

Chemicals · 341 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −80% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.15× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 217.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 7.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.2× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE31 · sector 22
PAST12 · sector 20
HEALTH93 · sector 94
DIVIDEND4 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).

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Dow Inc DOW $30.51 $21.03 −31%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥41.32 ¥21.62 −48%
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Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥78.04 ¥20.99 −73%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥52.53 ¥16.17 −69%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,855 IDR 1,584 IDR −15%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥18.87 ¥17.09 −9%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd (002167) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.10 versus a price of ¥15.24, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002167?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd is ¥3.10 (as of Aug 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥15.24.
What is the quality score of 002167?
Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd (002167)?
Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002167?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 16, 2026).
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