Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co (002181) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · CN · Market cap 14.3B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.48 to ¥1.35 (−8.8%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +3.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 85% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.90 – ¥19.69 · fair‑value band ¥1.01 – ¥1.69 · the ¥9.13 price screens above the ¥1.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co (002181) currently trades at ¥9.13, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 85.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co generated revenue of 598M CNY at a net margin of 12.2%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.7%. Net debt stands at 206M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.01 (bear case) to ¥1.69 (bull case); at ¥9.13, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at -85%, 002181 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Economic Profit (¥2.52) versus Growth DCF (¥0.2900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a newspaper and media company in China.
Full company description
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a newspaper and media company in China. The company offers integrated marketing communication services, such as print media advertising, digital media and outdoor advertising, creative planning, film and television, exhibitions and displays, event execution, and integrated media marketing communications solutions. It is also involved in AI-powered video and film, printing, cultural and creative park operation, and cultural industry investment business; and operates a series of newspapers and magazines covering sports, news, entertainment, culture, and lifestyle, under the Football, Senior Citizens' Daily, Food Guide, Guangzhou Digest, New Modern Pictorial, Read Good Books, and Stage and Screen brands, as well as new media platforms, such as Dayoo.com. In addition, the company distributes and sells newspaper and magazine through online and offline channels. The company was formerly known as Guangdong China Sunshine Media Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd. in July 2012. Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co., Ltd. was founded in 1992 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong Guangzhou Daily Media Co reported revenue of ¥594M in FY2025 versus ¥546M in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥92.1M in FY2025, compounding +0.7%/yr from FY2021.
002181 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →
Peer Group
Publishing · 110 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Publishing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The New York Times Company NYT | $76.71 | $41.95 | -45% |
| Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation 601928 | ¥9.20 | ¥10.07 | +9% |
| China Science Publishing & Media Ltd 601858 | ¥26.32 | ¥10.31 | -61% |
| People.cn CO., LTD 603000 | ¥17.10 | ¥4.23 | -75% |
| China South Publishing & Media Group 601098 | ¥10.43 | ¥14.66 | +41% |
| John Wiley & Sons, Inc WLY | $49.51 | $57.01 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Publishing & Media Co 601921 | ¥7.15 | ¥7.54 | +5% |
| Xinhua Winshare Publishing and Media Co 601811 | ¥11.87 | ¥21.61 | +82% |
| Shandong Publishing&Media Co 601019 | ¥6.98 | ¥11.60 | +66% |
| Central China Land Media CO.,LTD, 000719 | ¥12.18 | ¥25.26 | +107% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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