China Quanjude(Group) Co (002186) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥2.45 to ¥2.27 (−7.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +9.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.23 – ¥22.83 · fair‑value band ¥1.71 – ¥2.83 · the ¥9.42 price screens above the ¥2.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
China Quanjude(Group) Co (002186) currently trades at ¥9.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.27, implying the stock looks roughly 75.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Quanjude(Group) Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 0.8%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.7M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.71 (bear case) to ¥2.83 (bull case); at ¥9.42, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -76%, 002186 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.32) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Quanjude(Group) Co.,Ltd. engages in catering services and food processing and sale businesses in China. The company offers specialty foods, including pre-packaged cooked food series, lotus leaf cake series, roast duck special sauce series, pastry series, specialty pasta series, and New Year's Eve dinner dishes; cooked meat products, such as smoked, …
Full company description
China Quanjude(Group) Co.,Ltd. engages in catering services and food processing and sale businesses in China. The company offers specialty foods, including pre-packaged cooked food series, lotus leaf cake series, roast duck special sauce series, pastry series, specialty pasta series, and New Year's Eve dinner dishes; cooked meat products, such as smoked, grilled, and marinated products, sauces, and stews; and quick-frozen products comprising vacuum roast duck, hand-sliced roast duck, and flavored duck. It directly operates stores and franchise stores under the Quanjude, Fengzeyuan, Sichuan Restaurant, and Fangshan brand names. China Quanjude(Group) Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
China Quanjude(Group) Co reported revenue of ¥1.4B in FY2024 versus ¥783M in FY2020, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥34.1M in FY2024.
of which total revenue −2.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002186 screens 76% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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