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Sanlux Co (002224) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

SC Sanlux Co 002224 · SHE
Price¥3.51
Fair Value¥0.4300
Upside-87.8%
Quality30/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -1.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.42% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 24/100
Evidence: High Range ¥0.3200 – ¥0.5300 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.42 to ¥0.4300 (−69.7%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +6.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 88% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.5300). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥6.12 ¥3.27 Fair Value ¥0.4300 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.27 – ¥6.12 · fair‑value band ¥0.3200 – ¥0.5300 · the ¥3.51 price screens above the ¥0.4300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Sanlux Co (002224) currently trades at ¥3.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.4300, implying the stock looks roughly 87.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sanlux Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of -1.3%. Revenue grew 21.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -0.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.3200 (bear case) to ¥0.5300 (bull case); at ¥3.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -88%, 002224 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥2.38 ¥2.22 ¥1.52 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.24 ¥1.26 ¥1.27 72
Gordon GGM ¥0.3300 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6900 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.1400 ¥0.3000 ¥0.3800 54
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.0500 ¥0.0700 ¥0.0900 46
EPV ¥1.24 ¥1.26 ¥1.27 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.3300 ¥0.5000 ¥0.6900 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.3300 ¥0.4700 ¥0.6200 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.3200 ¥0.4300 ¥0.5300 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.2600 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4300 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.2600 ¥0.3500 ¥0.4300 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.39 ¥1.47 ¥1.55 53
EV/EBITDA ¥2.33 ¥2.73 ¥3.12 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.33 ¥1.40 ¥1.47 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.78 ¥2.39 ¥3.57 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.38 ¥2.22 ¥1.52 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.24 ¥1.26 ¥1.27 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.2400 ¥0.3400 ¥0.4400 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.39) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3000). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +21.1%
Net margin -1.3%
Return on equity -0.8%
Free cash flow −121M CNY FY2025
Operating margin 3.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ¥-0.0200
Dividend yield 0.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +322%
Net cash 1.1B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 36
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sanlux Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of rubber V-belts in China and internationally.

Full company description

Sanlux Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, production, and sale of rubber V-belts in China and internationally. The company offers classical, narrow, banded classical, banded narrow, double, dry fabric, high load industrial classical, industrial raw edge, automotive raw edge, agriculture raw edge, snow bike raw edge, agriculture banded, agricultural machinery H series cogged, and micro-cultivator V-belt products. It also provides industrial and automotive ribbed, motorcycle, and agriculture variable speed belts; special V-belt products for knitting machine, as well as cogged V-belt for peanuts machine; and conveyor, synchronous, and other belt products The company offers solutions to general machinery, agriculture machinery, automotive, and other applications. Sanlux Co.,Ltd was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sanlux Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥978M in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥18.4M in FY2025, compounding −36.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+17.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+6.2%
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY21 ¥978M
FY22 ¥889M
FY23 ¥930M
FY24 ¥894M
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income −36.5%/yr
FY21 ¥113M
FY22 ¥64.8M
FY23 ¥69.1M
FY24 ¥33.1M
FY25 ¥18.4M

002224 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sanlux Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002224

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −88% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 97 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 8 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sanlux Co (002224) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥0.4300 versus a price of ¥3.51, about −88% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002224?
Our model-based fair value for Sanlux Co is ¥0.4300 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥3.51.
What is the quality score of 002224?
Sanlux Co has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sanlux Co (002224)?
Sanlux Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002224?
The net profit margin of Sanlux Co is about -1.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sanlux Co pay a dividend?
Sanlux Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.42% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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