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Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd (002234) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 2.5B CNY (≈ $369M) · ISIN CNE100000BF2

What is Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd really worth?

SM Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd 002234 · SHE
Price¥8.34
Fair Value¥2.15
Upside−74.2%
Quality45/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 288% above our fair value of ¥2.15.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +5.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -12.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 2 out of 100
Evidence: Low Range ¥1.09 – ¥3.21

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥2.49 to ¥2.15 (−13.7%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +17.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.21). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide (¥1.09 to ¥3.21). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥23.35 ¥6.41 Fair Value ¥2.15 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥6.41 – ¥23.35 · fair‑value band ¥1.09 – ¥3.21 · the ¥8.34 price screens above the ¥2.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd (002234) currently trades at ¥8.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.15, implying the stock looks roughly 287.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.40 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥8.34 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.85, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of −12.3%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −14.2%. Net debt stands at 830M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.09 (bear case) to ¥3.21 (bull case); at ¥8.34, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −74%, 002234 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM ¥1.10 ¥2.20 ¥3.33 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.10 ¥1.85 ¥2.32 67
EV/EBITDA ¥2.60 ¥3.06 ¥3.52 67
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.10 ¥2.20 ¥3.33 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.10 ¥1.85 ¥2.32 67
Multiples
EV/EBITDA ¥2.60 ¥3.06 ¥3.52 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.54 ¥3.40 ¥5.07 54

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥3.40) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.85). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (67).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.14 TTM
EPS (TTM) ¥−0.7600
Dividend yield 1.8%
Net margin −12.4% FY2025
Return on equity −14.2% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −6.3% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −12.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 2.2B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.4% 3y avg +10.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −10.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −10.5M CNY FY2025
Net debt 830M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 45
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the breeding, producing, slaughtering, processing, and sale of commercial broiler chickens in the People's Republic of China. The company provides commercial chicken cooked food and prepared food.

Full company description

Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the breeding, producing, slaughtering, processing, and sale of commercial broiler chickens in the People's Republic of China. The company provides commercial chicken cooked food and prepared food. It also produces and sells organic fertilizer; and generates manure biogas and photovoltaic power. The company offers its products to large and medium-sized breeding enterprises, breeders, dealers, distributors, and farmers. Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Yantai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was −269M CNY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +5.0%/yr
FY21 1.8B CNY
FY22 1.6B CNY
FY23 2.1B CNY
FY24 2.2B CNY
FY25 2.2B CNY
Net income
FY21 47.6M CNY
FY22 −452M CNY
FY23 −386M CNY
FY24 −249M CNY
FY25 −269M CNY

002234 screens 288% overvalued. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002234

Peer Group

Farm Products · 292 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets −4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −12% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.8% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 27
FUTURE2 · sector 23
PAST0 · sector 19
HEALTH97 · sector 94
DIVIDEND35 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM $81.54 $38.02 −53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.15 ¥47.42 +18%
Bunge Global SA BG $111.57 $56.19 −50%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN $55.40 $28.60 −48%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥13.80 ¥11.18 −19%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 201.80 kr 256.14 +27%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972 ¥201.06 ¥143.09 −29%
United Plantations Berhad 2089 32.60 MYR 23.34 MYR −28%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 23.40 THB 43.24 THB +85%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 2,960 IDR 6,818 IDR +130%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd (002234) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.15 versus a price of ¥8.34, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002234?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd is ¥2.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥8.34.
What is the quality score of 002234?
Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd (002234)?
Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002234?
The net profit margin of Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd is about −12.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Minhe Animal Husbandry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.77% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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