Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd ¥7.19, price ¥13.59, upside -47.1%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.06 – ¥22.73 · fair‑value band ¥6.84 – ¥8.99 · the ¥13.59 price screens above the ¥7.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. engages in smelting of gold in China and internationally. It is also involved in smelting, refining, and processing of rare and semi metal; precious metal mining; chemical; research, development, and production of high purity metal materials; trade of mineral products; and other businesses.
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Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. engages in smelting of gold in China and internationally. It is also involved in smelting, refining, and processing of rare and semi metal; precious metal mining; chemical; research, development, and production of high purity metal materials; trade of mineral products; and other businesses. The company offers gold, silver, electrolytic copper, and sulfuric acid; and produces antimony white, bismuth ingots, tellurium ingots, selenium dioxide, metal arsenic, platinum, palladium, high-purity arsenic, and other rare and high-purity metals. Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Yantai, China.
Stock analysis
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237) currently trades at ¥13.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.19, implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥12.95 per share, and 1 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥13.59 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.71, and 15 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥6.84 (bear) to ¥8.99 (bull), the price of ¥13.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd reported revenue of 112B CNY in FY2025 versus 41.4B CNY in FY2021, a compound +28.3%/yr. Reported net income was 638M CNY in FY2025, compounding +8.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 19.5B CNY (≈ $2.9B) · P/E ratio 26.6 · P/S ratio 0.15 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.5100 · Dividend yield 1.0% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 5.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −47%, 002237 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥6.84Fair Value ¥7.19Bull ¥8.99
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2750 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+48.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +23.0% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+9.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs 9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Compare Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 456 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Above median
Fair Value upside−47% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth73% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)26.6× · Pricier than median
P/B1.47× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.15× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA7.7× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 36
PAST (return on equity)22· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)88· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)20· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002237
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.19 versus a price of ¥13.59, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002237?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is ¥7.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.59.
What is the quality score of 002237?
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.19 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.84, optimistic scenario ¥8.99. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.19, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥13.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.84, optimistic scenario ¥8.99. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 126B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd it is ¥7.19 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.59. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002237 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.59, fair value ¥7.19, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002237?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.19). For Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd the two are ¥6.40 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd worth?
The market values Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd at about 19.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.59; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002237?
Our models span a range for Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥6.84, base ¥7.19, optimistic ¥8.99 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002237?
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 26.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.6%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002237 from its 52-week high?
Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd trades at ¥13.59, about 40% below its 52-week high of ¥22.73 and 11% above the low of ¥12.21 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.59, calculated fair value ¥7.19 (−47%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002237 calculated?
We run Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥13.59. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.19, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Where does the earnings growth of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237) come from?
Earnings per share at Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd grew +7.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +16.7 %, EBIT margin −7.3 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The market capitalisation of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 19.5B CNY (≈ $2.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 0.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd are ¥0.5100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 26.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The dividend yield of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 1.0% (payout 26.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The net margin of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 2.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
The operating margin of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 2.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Revenue at Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is growing +73.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237)?
Earnings per share at Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd are growing +8.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237) generate?
The free cash flow of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is −3.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd (002237) carry?
The net debt of Shandong Humon Smelting Co Ltd is 9.9B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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