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Aotecar New Energy Technology Co (002239) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 8.8B CNY

AN Aotecar New Energy Technology Co 002239 · SHE
Price¥2.51
Fair Value¥1.22
Upside-51.4%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.24% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 26/100
Evidence: High Range ¥1.09 – ¥1.53 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 51% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥4.40 ¥2.08 Fair Value ¥1.22 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.08 – ¥4.40 · fair‑value band ¥1.09 – ¥1.53 · the ¥2.51 price screens above the ¥1.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Aotecar New Energy Technology Co (002239) currently trades at ¥2.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.22, implying the stock looks roughly 51.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Aotecar New Energy Technology Co generated revenue of 7.9B CNY at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue declined 13.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at 49.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.09 (bear case) to ¥1.53 (bull case); at ¥2.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -51%, 002239 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.94 ¥7.24 ¥13.31 80
Residual Income ¥1.17 ¥1.14 ¥0.9600 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.98 ¥3.14 ¥4.85 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥4.13 ¥6.62 ¥13.59 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.68 ¥3.42 ¥6.96 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.98 ¥2.94 ¥4.72 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.52 ¥4.10 ¥6.95 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥2.01 ¥3.22 ¥4.68 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.60 ¥4.09 ¥5.57 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.00 ¥5.09 ¥8.67 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.65 ¥4.14 ¥6.47 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.3800 ¥2.63 ¥3.69 54
Lynch FV ¥0.7800 ¥1.12 ¥1.46 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.7800 ¥1.12 ¥1.46 46
EPV ¥0.9200 ¥1.03 ¥1.12 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.1100 ¥0.2100 ¥0.3200 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.1100 ¥0.1900 ¥0.2300 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥0.9200 ¥1.22 ¥1.53 63
P/S Multiple ¥0.7100 ¥0.9400 ¥1.18 58
P/B Multiple ¥0.7100 ¥0.9400 ¥1.18 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.45 ¥1.85 ¥2.26 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.89 ¥2.45 ¥3.00 54
EV/Revenue ¥1.05 ¥1.40 ¥1.75 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.8100 ¥1.09 ¥1.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.94 ¥7.24 ¥13.31 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.98 ¥3.14 ¥4.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.17 ¥1.14 ¥0.9600 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.9200 ¥1.03 ¥1.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.09 ¥1.56 ¥2.03 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥4.09) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.9B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -13.2%
Net margin 2.4%
Return on equity 3.3%
Free cash flow 916M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 41.7
More key figures
Operating margin 4.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0600
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -11.4%
Net debt 49.4M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aotecar New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of automotive thermal management systems and components. Its products include automotive air-conditioning compressors, automotive air-conditioning systems, energy storage batteries, and charging system thermal management products and its key components.

Full company description

Aotecar New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the production and sale of automotive thermal management systems and components. Its products include automotive air-conditioning compressors, automotive air-conditioning systems, energy storage batteries, and charging system thermal management products and its key components. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Kingfield Garments Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Aotecar New Energy Technology Co., Ltd. in August 2015. The company was founded in 2002 and is based in Nanjing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aotecar New Energy Technology Co reported revenue of ¥8.2B in FY2025 versus ¥5.1B in FY2021, a compound +12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥195M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
8.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+9.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.1%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+17.5%
Revenue +12.4%/yr
FY21 ¥5.1B
FY22 ¥6.2B
FY23 ¥6.9B
FY24 ¥8.1B
FY25 ¥8.2B
Net income
FY21 −¥134M
FY22 ¥89.0M
FY23 ¥73.2M
FY24 ¥106M
FY25 ¥195M

002239 screens 51% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aotecar New Energy Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002239

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −51% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth -13% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.53× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.11× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 15.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 0 · sector 23
PAST 13 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

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Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Aotecar New Energy Technology Co (002239) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.22 versus a price of ¥2.51, about −51% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002239?
Our model-based fair value for Aotecar New Energy Technology Co is ¥1.22 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥2.51.
What is the quality score of 002239?
Aotecar New Energy Technology Co has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aotecar New Energy Technology Co (002239)?
Aotecar New Energy Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002239?
The net profit margin of Aotecar New Energy Technology Co is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aotecar New Energy Technology Co pay a dividend?
Aotecar New Energy Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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