Tianrun Industry Technology Co (002283) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 11.0B CNY

A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.71 – ¥12.64 · fair‑value band ¥5.08 – ¥8.47 · the ¥9.06 price screens above the ¥6.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Tianrun Industry Technology Co (002283) currently trades at ¥9.06, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.78, implying the stock looks roughly 25.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Tianrun Industry Technology Co generated revenue of 4.3B CNY at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue grew 26.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 670M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.08 (bear case) to ¥8.47 (bull case); at ¥9.06, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -25%, 002283 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥9.11) versus Earnings-Based (¥2.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Tianrun Industry Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells internal combustion engine crankshafts in China and internationally. It offers crankshafts comprising passenger car and marine engine; large bore; light, medium, and heavy duty engine; and saw off, expanding, and breaking connecting rods.

Full company description

Tianrun Industry Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells internal combustion engine crankshafts in China and internationally. It offers crankshafts comprising passenger car and marine engine; large bore; light, medium, and heavy duty engine; and saw off, expanding, and breaking connecting rods. The company also provides ductile iron crankshafts, cast iron pistons and connecting rods; cam, flange, and balance shafts; flywheels; flywheel housings; cylinder heads; turntables; bases; and rocker and short arms. In addition, it offers planetary gear carriers; lifting arms; various commercial vehicle brake; transmission; calipers; brake shoes; steering gear, main reducer, differential, clutch, and wheel-side reducer housing; balance and cross beams; brackets; and castings for robots, engines, new energy, wind power reducers, vacuum and gas heat pump housings, and machine tools. Further, the company provides control levers, swashplates, gear rings, steering knuckles, camshafts, booms, and bearing caps; construction and agricultural machinery, new energy, robotics, hydraulics, wind power, and commercial vehicle parts; forgings; hydraulic transmission system components; and aluminum alloy die-cast parts for gearboxes, internal combustion engines, and new energy vehicles. Additionally, it provides air suspension systems for truck chassis and semi-trailers; rubber suspension systems for engineering vehicles; suspension systems for truck cabs and passenger cars; gantry mechanical robots, intelligent logistics buffer and intelligent detection systems; produces and sells packaging boxes and bags; and operates molds and tooling manufacturing businesses. The company was formerly known as Tianrun Crankshaft Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Tianrun Industry Technology Co., Ltd. in April 2020. Tianrun Industry Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 1954 and is headquartered in Weihai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Tianrun Industry Technology Co reported revenue of ¥4.1B in FY2025 versus ¥4.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥368M in FY2025, compounding −9.2%/yr from FY2021.

002283 screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.