Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co (002355) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 3.3B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥0.9600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range (¥0.4100 to ¥0.9600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.95 – ¥9.43 · fair‑value band ¥0.4100 – ¥0.9600 · the ¥4.71 price screens above the ¥0.6400 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co (002355) currently trades at ¥4.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥0.6400, implying the stock looks roughly 86.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co generated revenue of 932M CNY at a net margin of -67.3%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -60.6%. Net debt stands at 289M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4100 (bear case) to ¥0.9600 (bull case); at ¥4.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -86%, 002355 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥8.78) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.5486). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of automotive steel wheels in China.

Full company description

Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sales of automotive steel wheels in China. It offers passenger car imitation aluminum, passenger car, new energy vehicle, commercial vehicle tubeless lightweight, light truck tubeless, light truck steel, commercial vehicle steel, agricultural and forestry machinery wheels, and others, as well as snow wheels big tubeless, small tubeless, tubed wheel, and agricultural and engineering wheel. The company is also involved in the research and development, manufacturing, and sales of vehicle information hardware; and the provision of vehicle networking system solutions and operation services. It exports its products to approximately 40 countries and regions. The company was formerly known as Shandong Xingmin Wheel Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd. in July 2016. Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Longkou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xingmin Intelligent Transportation Systems (Group) Co reported revenue of ¥911M in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was −¥324M in FY2025.

002355 screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.