Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.24 – ¥15.88 · fair‑value band ¥2.67 – ¥3.89 · the ¥6.12 price screens above the ¥3.22 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 21, 2026.
Zhejiang Wanliyang Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive transmissions and transmission/drive system products for new energy vehicles in China and internationally.
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Zhejiang Wanliyang Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of automotive transmissions and transmission/drive system products for new energy vehicles in China and internationally. It offers automotive transmission products, including passenger car transmissions and commercial vehicle transmissions, which are used in passenger cars, SUVs, MPVs, commercial vehicles, including logistics transportation trucks, low speed and heavy-duty dumpers, buses, municipal vehicles, school buses, pickups. The company also offers launched CVT for tractors, agricultural machinery power shifting system, humanoid robot transmission device, electric drive system of construction machine; precision mechanical components providing quality and cost parts such as housings, gears, differentials, synchronizers, and other products. The company was formerly known as Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Company Ltd. and changed its name to Zhejiang Wanliyang Co., Ltd. in January 2016. Zhejiang Wanliyang Co., Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Jinhua, China.
Stock analysis
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434) currently trades at ¥6.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.22, implying the stock looks roughly 90.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of ¥5.37 per share, and 3 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥6.12 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥2.17, and 14 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥2.67 (bear) to ¥3.89 (bull), the price of ¥6.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd reported revenue of 6.0B CNY in FY2024 versus 6.1B CNY in FY2020, a compound −0.2%/yr. Reported net income was 240M CNY in FY2024, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 8.2B CNY (≈ $1.2B) · P/E ratio 40.8 · P/S ratio 1.63 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1500 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 4.0% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at −47%, 002434 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥2.67Fair Value ¥3.22Bull ¥3.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1000 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+1.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.3%
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−8.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−10% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 5%
Compare Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 652 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−47% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)4% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−31% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.11× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)40.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B1.32× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.51× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA14.4× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 23
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)16· sector 35
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002434
Frequently asked questions
Is Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥3.22 versus a price of ¥6.12, about −47% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002434?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is ¥3.22 (as of Sep 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.12.
What is the quality score of 002434?
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥3.22 (as of Sep 21, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.67, optimistic scenario ¥3.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥3.22, about −47% upside versus a price of ¥6.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.67, optimistic scenario ¥3.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 21, 2026).
Does Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 21, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd it is ¥3.22 per share (as of Sep 21, 2026), against a price of ¥6.12. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 21, 2026, 002434 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.12, fair value ¥3.22, a gap of about −47% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002434?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥3.22). For Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd the two are ¥2.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd worth?
The market values Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd at about 8.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 21, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.12; our models calculate a fair value of ¥3.22 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002434?
Our models span a range for Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥2.67, base ¥3.22, optimistic ¥3.89 per share (as of Sep 21, 2026, price ¥6.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002434?
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.8 (as of Sep 21, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥3.22 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 14.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Balance-sheet figures for Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (as of Sep 21, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002434 from its 52-week high?
Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd trades at ¥6.12, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥11.31 (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥3.22 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 21, 2026: price ¥6.12, calculated fair value ¥3.22 (−47%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002434 calculated?
We run Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥3.22, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was ¥6.12. Our model-based fair value is ¥3.22, about −47% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.89). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434) come from?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd grew +1.8 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +11.8 %, EBIT margin −9.5 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The market capitalisation of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 8.2B CNY (≈ $1.2B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 1.63 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd are ¥0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The dividend yield of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 0.8% (payout 33.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The net margin of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 4.0% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
The operating margin of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 5.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Revenue at Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is growing −31.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434)?
Earnings per share at Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd are growing −37.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434) generate?
The free cash flow of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is −78.5M CNY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd (002434) carry?
The net debt of Zhejiang Wanliyang Transmission Co Ltd is 1.3B CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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