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BASF India Limited (BASF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹158B

BI BASF India Limited BASF · NSE
Price₹4,032
Fair Value₹1,312
Upside-67.5%
Quality51/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
0.67% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ₹918.51 – ₹1,706 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +13.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹1,706). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹918.51 to ₹1,706) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹8,522 ₹1,410 Fair Value ₹1,312 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,410 – ₹8,522 · fair‑value band ₹918.51 – ₹1,706 · the ₹4,032 price screens above the ₹1,312 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

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Analysis

BASF India Limited (BASF) currently trades at ₹4,032, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹1,312, implying the stock looks roughly 67.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, BASF India Limited generated revenue of ₹149B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 4.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹7.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹918.51 (bear case) to ₹1,706 (bull case); at ₹4,032, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -67%, BASF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹815.58 ₹921.36 ₹1,674 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,071 ₹1,410 ₹1,780 72
Gordon GGM ₹183.29 ₹381.11 ₹604.59 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹1,315 ₹2,314 ₹4,120 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹659.96 ₹3,373 ₹4,660 54
Lynch FV ₹918.51 ₹1,312 ₹1,706 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹918.51 ₹1,312 ₹1,706 46
EPV ₹1,015 ₹1,150 ₹1,269 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹183.29 ₹381.11 ₹604.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹183.29 ₹321.36 ₹399.98 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,237 ₹1,650 ₹2,062 63
P/S Multiple ₹1,237 ₹1,650 ₹2,062 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,237 ₹1,650 ₹2,062 55
EV/EBIT ₹1,450 ₹1,866 ₹2,282 53
EV/EBITDA ₹1,345 ₹1,726 ₹2,107 54
EV/Revenue ₹1,284 ₹1,747 ₹2,211 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹457.13 ₹612.56 ₹914.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹815.58 ₹921.36 ₹1,674 76
ROIC Compounder ₹1,071 ₹1,410 ₹1,780 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,248 ₹1,783 ₹2,318 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹2,314) versus Dividend Discount (₹321.36). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹149B
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.8%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow −₹3.0B FY2026
P/E ratio 38.0
More key figures
Operating margin 2.2%
EPS (TTM) ₹96.06
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +155%
Net cash ₹7.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 31
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

BASF India Limited provides chemicals, materials, industrial solutions, surface technologies, nutrition and care, and agricultural solutions in India and internatinally. The company's Agricultural Solution segment offers crop protection products, such as insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and plant growth regulators, as well as seed treatment solutions.

Full company description

BASF India Limited provides chemicals, materials, industrial solutions, surface technologies, nutrition and care, and agricultural solutions in India and internatinally. The company's Agricultural Solution segment offers crop protection products, such as insecticides, herbicides, fungicides, and plant growth regulators, as well as seed treatment solutions. Its Materials segment offers performance materials, such as polyurethane, and engineering and specialty plastics; and monomers comprising basic raw materials for polyurethanes, inorganics, and polyamides, as well as its precursors. The company's Industrial Solutions segment provides dispersions, resins, additives, and performance chemicals for paints and coatings, construction, paper, adhesives, automobile, printing, and packaging industries. Its Surface Technologies segment offers catalysts and coatings. The company's Nutrition & Care segment provides solutions for personal care, home care and institutional cleaning, and industrial formulation for textile, leather, agrochemicals, and metal surface cleaning; and products for human nutrition, animal nutrition, pharma solutions, and aroma ingredients. Its Chemicals segment provides petrochemicals, including oxo-alcohols, acrylic acid, acrylic monomers, superabsorbent, and specialty plasticizers used in paints and coatings, adhesives, and baby diapers, as well as flexible PVC applications, such as artificial leather for automotive upholstery, wires and cables, and packaging; and intermediate chemicals for pharmaceuticals, agrochemicals, coatings, food and feed, flavor and fragrance, surfactants, rubber chemicals, textiles, personal care, adhesives, dyes, etc. BASF India Limited was incorporated in 1943 and is based in Navi Mumbai, India. BASF India Limited is a subsidiary of BASF SE.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

BASF India Limited reported revenue of ₹149B in FY2026 versus ₹131B in FY2022, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹4.2B in FY2026, compounding −8.3%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 41/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹149B
Latest YoY
−2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.7%
Revenue +3.4%/yr
FY22 ₹131B
FY23 ₹136B
FY24 ₹138B
FY25 ₹152B
FY26 ₹149B
Net income −8.3%/yr
FY22 ₹5.9B
FY23 ₹4.0B
FY24 ₹5.6B
FY25 ₹4.8B
FY26 ₹4.2B

BASF screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "BASF India Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BASF

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.0× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.99× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.06× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 22.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 24 · sector 19
PAST 44 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 13 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BASF India Limited (BASF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹1,312 versus a price of ₹4,032, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BASF?
Our model-based fair value for BASF India Limited is ₹1,312 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹4,032.
What is the quality score of BASF?
BASF India Limited has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of BASF India Limited (BASF)?
BASF India Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹149B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BASF?
The net profit margin of BASF India Limited is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BASF India Limited pay a dividend?
BASF India Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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