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Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co (002472) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 36.2B CNY

ZS Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co 002472 · SHE
Price¥39.28
Fair Value¥32.65
Upside-16.9%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.07% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ¥19.32 – ¥40.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −12.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥19.32 to ¥40.82) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥51.48 ¥7.77 Fair Value ¥32.65 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥7.77 – ¥51.48 · fair‑value band ¥19.32 – ¥40.82 · the ¥39.28 price screens above the ¥32.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co (002472) currently trades at ¥39.28, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥32.65, implying the stock looks roughly 16.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co generated revenue of 9.1B CNY at a net margin of 13.9%. Revenue grew 1.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.1%. Net debt stands at 906M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥19.32 (bear case) to ¥40.82 (bull case); at ¥39.28, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -17%, 002472 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥8.13 ¥13.76 ¥24.18 80
Residual Income ¥11.09 ¥13.44 ¥29.57 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.92 ¥19.59 ¥32.25 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥8.35 ¥12.64 ¥24.28 38
Owner Earnings ¥4.15 ¥5.99 ¥9.73 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥10.92 ¥19.40 ¥33.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.54 ¥45.10 ¥81.25 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥21.17 ¥43.86 ¥72.93 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥9.76 ¥18.62 ¥31.55 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥18.21 ¥39.72 ¥79.38 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥17.26 ¥37.23 ¥71.56 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥10.09 ¥66.32 ¥92.83 54
Lynch FV ¥19.32 ¥27.61 ¥35.89 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥19.32 ¥27.61 ¥35.89 46
EPV ¥18.80 ¥21.50 ¥23.87 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.55 ¥9.47 ¥15.02 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.55 ¥7.98 ¥9.93 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥24.49 ¥32.65 ¥40.82 63
P/S Multiple ¥9.65 ¥12.87 ¥16.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.92 ¥25.23 ¥31.54 55
EV/EBIT ¥28.12 ¥36.62 ¥45.12 53
EV/EBITDA ¥29.09 ¥37.91 ¥46.74 54
EV/Revenue ¥11.61 ¥15.47 ¥19.33 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.89 ¥7.90 ¥11.79 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥8.13 ¥13.76 ¥24.18 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥10.92 ¥19.59 ¥32.25 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.09 ¥13.44 ¥29.57 76
ROIC Compounder ¥22.50 ¥31.88 ¥43.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥27.62 ¥39.45 ¥51.29 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥39.45) versus Asset-Based (¥7.90). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.5%
Net margin 13.9%
Return on equity 13.1%
Free cash flow 322M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 28.4
More key figures
Operating margin 15.9%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.50
Dividend yield 1.1%
Net debt 906M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 43
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 47
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 52
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 64
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, research and development, and manufacturing of mechanical transmission gears and related parts in China and internationally.

Full company description

Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, research and development, and manufacturing of mechanical transmission gears and related parts in China and internationally. It offers transmission core components for passenger vehicles, such as MT, AMT, DCT, CVT, AT, transfer case gears, synchronizers, electronic vehicle products, gear shafts, differential mechanisms, hybrid electric vehicle products, DHT, engine-gear rings, as well as planetary and scissor gears. The company also provides transmission case gear shafts and engine gears for commercial vehicles; off-road construction machinery gears; small spiral bevel gear power tools; rail transit gears; pinion shaft for wind power field; and motorcycle engine gears, including terrain vehicle gears and Haomai 50 gears. In addition, the company is involved in research and test experience development; software and information technology service industry; technology promotion application service industry; and investment business. Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Hangzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co reported revenue of ¥9.1B in FY2025 versus ¥5.4B in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding +40.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
9.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+10.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+20.0%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+18.4%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 ¥5.4B
FY22 ¥6.8B
FY23 ¥8.1B
FY24 ¥8.8B
FY25 ¥9.1B
Net income +40.2%/yr
FY21 ¥326M
FY22 ¥582M
FY23 ¥816M
FY24 ¥1.0B
FY25 ¥1.3B

002472 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002472

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.62× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.4× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 17
FUTURE 8 · sector 23
PAST 53 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 30

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co (002472) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥32.65 versus a price of ¥39.28, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002472?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co is ¥32.65 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥39.28.
What is the quality score of 002472?
Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co (002472)?
Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002472?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co is about 13.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Shuanghuan Driveline Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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