Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co (002480) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.4B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 56% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The model range is unusually wide (¥0.4920 to ¥4.62). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.83 – ¥7.89 · fair‑value band ¥0.4920 – ¥4.62 · the ¥5.54 price screens above the ¥2.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co (002480) currently trades at ¥5.54, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.46, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co generated revenue of 1.5B CNY at a net margin of -12.7%. Revenue declined 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.5%. Net debt stands at 4.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥0.4920 (bear case) to ¥4.62 (bull case); at ¥5.54, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at -56%, 002480 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (¥3.50) versus Asset-Based (¥0.7400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services for urban rail transit systems in China and internationally. It operates through Bridge Features, Railway Transportation, and Photovoltaic Power Generation segments.

Full company description

Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co.,LTD, together with its subsidiaries, provides products and services for urban rail transit systems in China and internationally. It operates through Bridge Features, Railway Transportation, and Photovoltaic Power Generation segments. The company offers urban rail transit systems comprising embedded medium-low speed maglev, modern tram, suspended monorail, and the imbedded and continuously supported track systems, as well as metro transports. It also provides transportation functional components, including bridge supports comprising isolation and rubber bearing, and steel support products; expansion joints; bridge inspection vehicles; pre-stressed anchorage devices; bridge dampers consisting of lead, mild steel, and viscous dampers; and disaster reduction and prevention products, including flexible steel frame, and active and passive protection netting products. In addition, the company offers photovoltaic power generation, investment management, consulting, trading, and agricultural planting services. Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co.,LTD was founded in 1996 and is based in Chengdu, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chengdu Xinzhu Road&Bridge Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥1.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −¥168M in FY2025.

002480 screens 56% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 148 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.