EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Cedar Development Co Ltd ¥1.07, price ¥5.88, upside -81.8%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · CN · ISIN CNE100000VS3

CD Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Cedar Development Co Ltd

002485 · SHE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥1.07 · Strongly overvalued (−82%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −14.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -38.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Cedar Development Co Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥6.24 ¥2.27 Fair Value ¥1.07 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.27 – ¥6.24 · fair‑value band ¥0.8000 – ¥1.60 · the ¥5.88 price screens above the ¥1.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Follow Cedar Development Co in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Cedar Development Co is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Cedar Development Co.,Ltd. provides supply chain management services in China. The company offers supply chain services for the production and sales of coal, coke, aluminum, oil products, and steel products through Cedar Smart Chain platform. It also engages in the development and operation of cultural tourism business.

Show more

Cedar Development Co.,Ltd. provides supply chain management services in China. The company offers supply chain services for the production and sales of coal, coke, aluminum, oil products, and steel products through Cedar Smart Chain platform. It also engages in the development and operation of cultural tourism business. The company was formerly known as Sinoer Men's Wear Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Cedar Development Co., Ltd. in August 2021. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Guangzhou, China.

Stock analysis

Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485) currently trades at ¥5.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.07, implying the stock looks roughly 449.5% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ¥0.8000 (bear) to ¥1.60 (bull), the price of ¥5.88 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Cedar Development Co Ltd reported revenue of 655M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −18.4%/yr. Reported net income was −191M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 3.2B CNY (≈ $477M) · P/S ratio 4.99 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.3600 · Net margin −29.2% · Return on equity −17.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −7.9% · Operating margin −1.0% · Revenue (TTM) 517M CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −82%, 002485 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥0.8000 Fair Value ¥1.07 Bull ¥1.60
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9500 ¥1.27 ¥1.89 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9500 ¥1.27 ¥1.89 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when 002485 reaches fair value

Put 002485 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 4
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−20.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−27.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.3% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−2.5% (2020) → −18.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

002485 screens 449% overvalued. Compare with Ralph Lauren Corporation →

Compare Cedar Development Co Ltd with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Apparel Manufacturing · 226 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 40 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −82% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −38% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −64% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.47× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.94× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 5
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $346.06 $225.13 −35%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €43.61 €50.69 +16%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL $46.19 $50.81 +10%
LPP SA LPP 24,520 PLN 20,032 PLN −18%
Levi Strauss & Co LEVI $20.06 $15.83 −21%
V.F. Corporation VFC $13.55 $13.41 −1%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.02 HK$5.92 +47%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥8.19 ¥5.59 −32%
Kontoor Brands, Inc KTB $67.82 $85.76 +26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹37,340 ₹28,533 −24%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cedar Development Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.07 −449%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cedar Development Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002485

Frequently asked questions

Is Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.07 versus a price of ¥5.88, about −82% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002485?
Our model-based fair value for Cedar Development Co Ltd is ¥1.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥5.88.
What is the quality score of 002485?
Cedar Development Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥0.8000, optimistic scenario ¥1.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cedar Development Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.07, about −82% upside versus a price of ¥5.88 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥0.8000, optimistic scenario ¥1.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Cedar Development Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 517M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cedar Development Co Ltd it is ¥1.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥5.88. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cedar Development Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 002485 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥5.88, fair value ¥1.07, a gap of about −82% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002485?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥5.88); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.07). For Cedar Development Co Ltd the two are ¥4.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cedar Development Co Ltd worth?
The market values Cedar Development Co Ltd at about 3.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥5.88; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002485?
Our models span a range for Cedar Development Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥0.8000, base ¥1.07, optimistic ¥1.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥5.88). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cedar Development Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −17.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002485 from its 52-week high?
Cedar Development Co Ltd trades at ¥5.88, about 6% below its 52-week high of ¥6.24 and 69% above the low of ¥3.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cedar Development Co Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Ralph Lauren Corporation, Moncler S.p.A, Gildan Activewear Inc, LPP SA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cedar Development Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥5.88, calculated fair value ¥1.07 (−82%), Quality Score 41/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002485 calculated?
We run Cedar Development Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Cedar Development Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥5.88. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.07, about −82% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cedar Development Co Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (¥0.8000 to ¥1.60) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Cedar Development Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
The market capitalisation of Cedar Development Co Ltd is 3.2B CNY (≈ $477M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cedar Development Co Ltd is 4.99 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Earnings per share at Cedar Development Co Ltd are ¥−0.3600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
The net margin of Cedar Development Co Ltd is −29.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cedar Development Co Ltd is −17.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cedar Development Co Ltd is −7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
The operating margin of Cedar Development Co Ltd is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Revenue at Cedar Development Co Ltd is growing −63.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −27.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485)?
Earnings per share at Cedar Development Co Ltd are growing −88.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485) generate?
The free cash flow of Cedar Development Co Ltd is −183M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Cedar Development Co Ltd (002485) hold?
Cedar Development Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 199M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Cedar Development Co Ltd in the live analysis

One click puts Cedar Development Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.