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Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 29, 2026: fair value of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd HK$2.79, price HK$4.70, upside -40.6%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN BMG2097Z1471

CI Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd

0025 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$2.79 · Strongly overvalued (−40.6%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!3.4% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Trails peers (3/11)
!Narrow moat 11/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value

HK$7.85 HK$3.65 Fair Value HK$2.79 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$3.65 – HK$7.85 · fair‑value band HK$1.61 – HK$3.72 · the HK$4.70 price screens above the HK$2.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Chevalier International Holdings Limited engages in the construction and engineering, property investment, property development and operations, healthcare investment, car dealership, insurance and investment, and other business.

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Chevalier International Holdings Limited engages in the construction and engineering, property investment, property development and operations, healthcare investment, car dealership, insurance and investment, and other business. The company offers construction and engineering work for aluminum window and curtain walls, building construction, building supplies, civil engineering, and lifts and escalators, as well as electrical and mechanical, and environmental engineering. It also provides senior housing and medical office building investment. In addition, the company is involved in the rental of properties; property development and management, cold storage, logistics, and hotel operations; retailing, trading, and servicing of motor vehicles; general insurance business and investment in securities; and sale and servicing of information technology equipment and business machines, food trading, food and beverage, and freight forwarding services. Further, it engages in the provision of services and finance for a development project of a church and a senior citizen care facility; management and logistics services; operation of a cold storage warehouse; sale and servicing of automobiles; grocery and telecommunication equipment trading; building construction and maintenance; installation of electrical and mechanical equipment; environmental engineering; trading and servicing of computers and business machines; and installation of air-conditioning systems. Additionally, the company is involved in providing network systems and solution; property management and security services; general construction business; property management consultation; and trading of motor vehicles. Chevalier International Holdings Limited operates in Hong Kong, Mainland China, Macau, Australia, Canada, Singapore, the United Kingdom, the United States of America, and Thailand. The company was founded in 1970 and is based in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025) currently trades at HK$4.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.79, 40.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of HK$20.40 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the HK$4.70 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$2.32, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$1.61 (bear) to HK$3.72 (bull), the price of HK$4.70 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Chevalier International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$9.3B in FY2025 versus HK$7.4B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$473M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$1.4B (≈ $181M) · P/S ratio 0.14 · EPS (TTM) HK$−1.07 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin −5.1% · Return on equity −3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −41%, 0025 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.61 Fair Value HK$2.79 Bull HK$3.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM HK$1.53 HK$2.57 HK$3.34 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.53 HK$2.32 HK$2.76 67
NCAV (Graham) HK$15.22 HK$20.40 HK$30.45 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.53 HK$2.57 HK$3.34 68
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.53 HK$2.32 HK$2.76 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$15.22 HK$20.40 HK$30.45 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 43
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+13.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
8.5% (2020) → −3.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

0025 screens overvalued: fair value 41% below the price. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 375 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −40.6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.7% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −3.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −2.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.34× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.9× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)83 · sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)68 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
3M Company MMM $169.55 $72.78 −57%
Honeywell International Inc HON $212.55 $244.82 +15%
CITIC Limited 0267 HK$12.94 HK$25.88 +100%
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$102.00 HK$28.34 −72%
SK Inc 034730 611,000 KRW 348,688 KRW −43%
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $55.86 $78.34 +40%
Keppel Ltd BN4 11.30 SGD 3.88 SGD −66%
Kingdom Holding 4280 13.08 SAR 13.40 SAR +2%
Koç Holding KCHOL 216.50 TRY 182.26 TRY −16%
Aker ASA AKER kr 1,446 kr 1,017 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chevalier International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0025

Frequently asked questions

Is Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.79 versus a price of HK$4.70, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 0025?
Our model-based fair value for Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is HK$2.79 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$4.70.
What is the quality score of 0025?
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.79 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.61, optimistic scenario HK$3.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chevalier International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.79, about −41% upside versus a price of HK$4.70 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.61, optimistic scenario HK$3.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Chevalier International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chevalier International Holdings Ltd it is HK$2.79 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$4.70. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chevalier International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 0025 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$4.70, fair value HK$2.79, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0025?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$4.70); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.79). For Chevalier International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.91 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chevalier International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Chevalier International Holdings Ltd at about HK$1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$4.70; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0025?
Our models span a range for Chevalier International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.61, base HK$2.79, optimistic HK$3.72 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$4.70). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −3.2%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0025 from its 52-week high?
Chevalier International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$4.70, about 11% below its 52-week high of HK$5.30 and 25% above the low of HK$3.76 (as of Sep 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chevalier International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, Swire Pacific Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chevalier International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$4.70, calculated fair value HK$2.79 (−41%), Quality Score 43/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0025 calculated?
We run Chevalier International Holdings Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Chevalier International Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The closing price on Sep 29, 2026 was HK$4.70. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.79, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chevalier International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$3.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.61 to HK$3.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The market capitalisation of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is HK$1.4B (≈ $181M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is 0.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Earnings per share at Chevalier International Holdings Ltd are HK$−1.07. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The dividend yield of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is 3.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The net margin of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is −5.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is −3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
The operating margin of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is 3.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Revenue at Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is growing −2.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025)?
Earnings per share at Chevalier International Holdings Ltd are growing +188% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025) generate?
The free cash flow of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is −HK$480M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Chevalier International Holdings Ltd (0025) carry?
The net debt of Chevalier International Holdings Ltd is HK$2.8B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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