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Kuangda Technology Group (002516) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 9.1B CNY

KT Kuangda Technology Group 002516 · SHE
Price¥5.38
Fair Value¥2.74
Upside-49.1%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 8.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.37% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: Medium Range ¥1.74 – ¥3.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −0.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.43). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥1.74 to ¥3.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥7.14 ¥2.50 Fair Value ¥2.74 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥2.50 – ¥7.14 · fair‑value band ¥1.74 – ¥3.43 · the ¥5.38 price screens above the ¥2.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Kuangda Technology Group (002516) currently trades at ¥5.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.74, implying the stock looks roughly 49.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Kuangda Technology Group generated revenue of 2.4B CNY at a net margin of 8.3%. Revenue grew 16.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 236M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥1.74 (bear case) to ¥3.43 (bull case); at ¥5.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -49%, 002516 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥1.94 ¥2.98 ¥4.40 80
Residual Income ¥1.93 ¥1.95 ¥1.84 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.20 ¥1.99 ¥2.89 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥1.90 ¥3.07 ¥4.77 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.61 ¥2.64 ¥4.13 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥1.20 ¥1.96 ¥2.91 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.68 ¥2.86 ¥4.21 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥1.57 ¥2.66 ¥3.77 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥1.40 ¥2.15 ¥3.10 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥1.74 ¥2.75 ¥4.05 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥1.67 ¥2.62 ¥3.73 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.8500 ¥2.52 ¥3.33 54
Lynch FV ¥0.5300 ¥0.7600 ¥0.9800 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥0.5300 ¥0.7600 ¥0.9800 46
EPV ¥0.6800 ¥0.8500 ¥1.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.7000 ¥1.40 ¥2.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.7000 ¥1.12 ¥1.48 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.06 ¥2.74 ¥3.43 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.39 ¥1.86 ¥2.32 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.59 ¥2.12 ¥2.65 55
EV/EBIT ¥1.69 ¥2.40 ¥3.10 53
EV/EBITDA ¥1.81 ¥2.56 ¥3.32 54
EV/Revenue ¥0.8600 ¥1.42 ¥1.98 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.27 ¥1.70 ¥2.54 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥1.94 ¥2.98 ¥4.40 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥1.20 ¥1.99 ¥2.89 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥1.93 ¥1.95 ¥1.84 76
ROIC Compounder ¥0.6800 ¥0.8500 ¥1.01 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥1.67 ¥2.38 ¥3.09 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥2.64) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.7600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 2.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.6%
Net margin 8.3%
Return on equity 5.1%
Free cash flow 322M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 44.4
More key figures
Operating margin 13.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.1400
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +33.3%
Net cash 236M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kuangda Technology Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of interior fabrics in China and internationally. The company operates through Automotive Supplies and Power Business segments.

Full company description

Kuangda Technology Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of interior fabrics in China and internationally. The company operates through Automotive Supplies and Power Business segments. It offers auto interior materials, such as polyester colored fiber material, fabrics, ecological synthetic leather, and microfiber suede; automotive interior parts, such as seat cover and car cabin comfort system, as well as is involved in photovoltaic power generation. The company was formerly known as Jiangsu Kuangda Automobile Textile Group Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Kuangda Technology Group Co., Ltd. in August 2015. Kuangda Technology Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Changzhou City, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kuangda Technology Group reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.7B in FY2021, a compound +7.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥183M in FY2025, compounding −0.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
2.3B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y)
+9.8%
Revenue +7.2%/yr
FY21 ¥1.7B
FY22 ¥1.8B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥2.1B
FY25 ¥2.3B
Net income −0.8%/yr
FY21 ¥189M
FY22 ¥200M
FY23 ¥191M
FY24 ¥163M
FY25 ¥183M

002516 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kuangda Technology Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002516

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.45× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 25.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 83 · sector 23
PAST 21 · sector 26
HEALTH 87 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 27 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kuangda Technology Group (002516) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.74 versus a price of ¥5.38, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002516?
Our model-based fair value for Kuangda Technology Group is ¥2.74 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.38.
What is the quality score of 002516?
Kuangda Technology Group has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kuangda Technology Group (002516)?
Kuangda Technology Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002516?
The net profit margin of Kuangda Technology Group is about 8.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kuangda Technology Group pay a dividend?
Kuangda Technology Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.37% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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