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Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd ¥1.85, price ¥2.63, upside -29.6%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100000Y01

SM Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd

002526 · SHE

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value ¥1.85 · Overvalued (−30%)

!Quality 44/100

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 3.9% net margin (TTM)

!Low debt · negative free cash flow

·0.38% dividend yield

!Trails peers (3/13)

!Narrow moat 25/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 11 out of 100

!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear ¥1.29 to bull ¥1.85 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 44/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.87 – ¥5.79 · fair‑value band ¥1.29 – ¥1.85 · the ¥2.63 price screens above the ¥1.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machinery in China and internationally.

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machinery in China and internationally. The company offers manufacturing products, such as four axis coordinate welding, welding, general, and palletizing robot; 3D printing machine; unloading and bundling, and robotic handling systems; slug cutters, and automatic handling systems using dryer pallets; automatic cleaning and semi-automatic die cutting machine; and engineering robots. It also provides mining machinery products, including thin seam, top caving, shield hydraulic support, and hydraulic support for deeply inclined coal seams; tubular belt and bulk material conveyor; statically indeterminate, circular, and frequency linear vibrating screen; metal box scraper conveyor, inorganic automatic dosing system; gravity-fed three-product dense-medium cyclone, organic auto-dosing system, and medium heavy separator; mining, automobile, and extreme environment cylinders; automatic chain welding equipment and torus chain; waterproof pressurization test platform, refuge chamber, waterproof lifesaving and rescue capsule, and mine transition; hydraulic single props; and scrap conveyor for backfilling. It serves coal mining, coal washing, mine safety, brickmaking, post press packaging, and unmanned aviation sectors. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Weifang, China.

Stock analysis

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) currently trades at ¥2.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.85, implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥1.22 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥2.63 price.

Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at ¥0.8300, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.29 (bear) to ¥1.85 (bull), the price of ¥2.63 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 123M CNY in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 5.2B CNY (≈ $777M) · P/E ratio 52.6 · P/S ratio 3.03 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0500 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 2.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −30%, 002526 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.29 Fair Value ¥1.85 Bull ¥1.85

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0293 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings ¥0.7000 ¥0.8300 ¥0.9900 78

Residual Income ¥1.26 ¥1.20 ¥0.9800 76

EPV ¥0.8100 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9200 74

All 16 models by family

DCF Models

Owner Earnings ¥0.7000 ¥0.8300 ¥0.9900 78

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥0.4700 ¥1.21 ¥1.58 65

PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4300 57

EPV ¥0.8100 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9200 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1600 ¥0.2200 68

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0900 ¥0.1300 ¥0.1700 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥1.08 ¥1.44 ¥1.81 63

P/S Multiple ¥0.8800 ¥1.17 ¥1.46 58

P/B Multiple ¥0.8800 ¥1.17 ¥1.46 55

EV/EBIT ¥1.21 ¥1.49 ¥1.76 66

EV/EBITDA ¥1.53 ¥1.92 ¥2.30 67

EV/Revenue ¥0.9700 ¥1.22 ¥1.48 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥0.9100 ¥1.22 ¥1.81 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥1.26 ¥1.20 ¥0.9800 76

ROIC Compounder ¥0.8100 ¥0.8700 ¥0.9200 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.8400 ¥1.21 ¥1.57 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 25

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 31

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 2

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 72

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 73

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 80

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 13

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 4

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 78

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100

Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Revenue growth 1 year

−10.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+0.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.0%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+3.4%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+3.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3% vs 32%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

002526 screens 42% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%

Fair Value upside −30% · Above median

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median

Return on assets 1% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −16% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 52.6× · Priciest 25%

P/B 1.61× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 29.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 22

PAST (return on equity)11 · sector 28

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Eaton Corporation ETN	$442.49	$172.75	−61%
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH	$964.85	$418.76	−57%
Cummins Inc CMI	$526.13	$359.38	−32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW	$270.47	$151.39	−44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR	$154.19	$62.15	−60%
AMETEK, Inc AME	$245.41	$125.80	−49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK	$427.19	$138.24	−68%
Sandvik AB SAND	kr 383.50	kr 193.39	−50%

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Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
¥1.85 −42%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002526" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">¥1.85</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−42%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002526

Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.85 versus a price of ¥2.63, about −30% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 002526?

Our model-based fair value for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is ¥1.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.63.

What is the quality score of 002526?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.85 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.29, optimistic scenario ¥1.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥1.85, about −30% upside versus a price of ¥2.63 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.29, optimistic scenario ¥1.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 2.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd it is ¥1.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥2.63. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 002526 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.63, fair value ¥1.85, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 002526?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.63); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.85). For Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd the two are ¥0.7780 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd worth?

The market values Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd at about 5.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.63; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.85 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002526?

Our models span a range for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.29, base ¥1.85, optimistic ¥1.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥2.63). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 002526?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 52.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.85 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 29.1.

How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 002526 from its 52-week high?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd trades at ¥2.63, about 35% below its 52-week high of ¥4.06 and 6% above the low of ¥2.48 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.85 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥2.63, calculated fair value ¥1.85 (−30%), Quality Score 44/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 002526 calculated?

We run Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.85, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ¥2.63. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.85, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Where does the earnings growth of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) come from?

Earnings per share at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd grew +18.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.4 %, EBIT margin +21.0 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The market capitalisation of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 5.2B CNY (≈ $777M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 3.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Earnings per share at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd are ¥0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 52.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The dividend yield of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 20.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The net margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 2.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The operating margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Revenue at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is growing −16.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Earnings per share at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd are growing −81.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) generate?

The free cash flow of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is −228M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) hold?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 352M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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