Shandong Mining Machinery Group (002526) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥1.36 to ¥2.01 (+47.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +5.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥1.87 – ¥5.79 · fair‑value band ¥1.58 – ¥2.40 · the ¥2.70 price screens above the ¥2.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Mining Machinery Group (002526) currently trades at ¥2.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.01, implying the stock looks roughly 25.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Mining Machinery Group generated revenue of 2.1B CNY at a net margin of 3.9%. Revenue declined 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 352M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.58 (bear case) to ¥2.40 (bull case); at ¥2.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -26%, 002526 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥1.22) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.1500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machinery in China and internationally. The company offers manufacturing products, such as four axis coordinate welding, welding, general, and palletizing robot; 3D printing machine; unloading and bundling, and robotic handling systems; slug cutters, and automatic handling systems using dryer …
Full company description
Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machinery in China and internationally. The company offers manufacturing products, such as four axis coordinate welding, welding, general, and palletizing robot; 3D printing machine; unloading and bundling, and robotic handling systems; slug cutters, and automatic handling systems using dryer pallets; automatic cleaning and semi-automatic die cutting machine; and engineering robots. It also provides mining machinery products, including thin seam, top caving, shield hydraulic support, and hydraulic support for deeply inclined coal seams; tubular belt and bulk material conveyor; statically indeterminate, circular, and frequency linear vibrating screen; metal box scraper conveyor, inorganic automatic dosing system; gravity-fed three-product dense-medium cyclone, organic auto-dosing system, and medium heavy separator; mining, automobile, and extreme environment cylinders; automatic chain welding equipment and torus chain; waterproof pressurization test platform, refuge chamber, waterproof lifesaving and rescue capsule, and mine transition; hydraulic single props; and scrap conveyor for backfilling. It serves coal mining, coal washing, mine safety, brickmaking, post press packaging, and unmanned aviation sectors. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Weifang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Mining Machinery Group reported revenue of ¥2.1B in FY2025 versus ¥2.3B in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥123M in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.
002526 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
Compare Shandong Mining Machinery Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group (002526) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002526?
What is the quality score of 002526?
What is the revenue of Shandong Mining Machinery Group (002526)?
What is the net profit margin of 002526?
Does Shandong Mining Machinery Group pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Shandong Mining Machinery Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.