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Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock ¥1.85, price ¥2.82, that is 34.3% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 15 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

15 models, one by oneBear ¥1.29 to bull ¥1.97 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 45/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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Industrials CN · ISIN CNE100000Y01

Thin data Nov 7, 2026

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd

002526 · SHE

Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 34% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt

Quality 45/100

Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (TTM)

0.4% dividend yield · Token dividend

Costs 141 times its yearly profit.

Fair value ¥1.85 · Overvalued (−34.3%)

Weak Growth (revenue 5y +0.4 %/yr in CNY)

Negative free cash flow

Trails peers (2/13)

Narrow moat 22/100

Thin data

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥1.87 – ¥5.79 · fair‑value band ¥1.29 – ¥1.97 · the ¥2.82 price screens above the ¥1.85 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 7, 2026.

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Company profile

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells machinery in China and internationally.

Show moreShow less

The company offers manufacturing products, such as four axis coordinate welding, welding, general, and palletizing robot; 3D printing machine; unloading and bundling, and robotic handling systems; slug cutters, and automatic handling systems using dryer pallets; automatic cleaning and semi-automatic die cutting machine; and engineering robots.

It also provides mining machinery products, including thin seam, top caving, shield hydraulic support, and hydraulic support for deeply inclined coal seams; tubular belt and bulk material conveyor; statically indeterminate, circular, and frequency linear vibrating screen; metal box scraper conveyor, inorganic automatic dosing system; gravity-fed three-product dense-medium cyclone, organic auto-dosing system, and medium heavy separator; mining, automobile, and extreme environment cylinders; automatic chain welding equipment and torus chain; waterproof pressurization test platform, refuge chamber, waterproof lifesaving and rescue capsule, and mine transition; hydraulic single props; and scrap conveyor for backfilling.

It serves coal mining, coal washing, mine safety, brickmaking, post press packaging, and unmanned aviation sectors. The company was founded in 1955 and is based in Weifang, China.

Stock analysis

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) currently trades at ¥2.82, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.85, 34% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥1.38 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the ¥2.82 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.8100, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥1.29 (bear) to ¥1.97 (bull), the price of ¥2.82 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 2.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.8%/yr. Reported net income was 123M CNY in FY2025, compounding +19.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 5.0B CNY (≈ $754M) Small · P/E ratio 141.0 · P/S ratio 2.62 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0200 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% (5-year average).

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 22 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −46% fair-value upside, at −34%, 002526 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥1.29 Fair Value ¥1.85 Bull ¥1.97

Price ¥2.82 · Downside -34.3%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0085 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income ¥1.26 ¥1.24 ¥1.29 76

EPV ¥0.8300 ¥0.8900 ¥0.9500 74

ROIC Compounder ¥0.8300 ¥0.8900 ¥0.9500 72

All 15 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ¥0.4700 ¥1.21 ¥1.58 65

PEG = 1.0 ¥0.2300 ¥0.3300 ¥0.4300 57

EPV ¥0.8300 ¥0.8900 ¥0.9500 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ¥0.0900 ¥0.1700 ¥0.2500 67

DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.0900 ¥0.1400 ¥0.1800 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple ¥1.08 ¥1.44 ¥1.81 63

P/S Multiple ¥0.8800 ¥1.17 ¥1.46 58

P/B Multiple ¥2.18 ¥2.91 ¥3.64 55

EV/EBIT ¥1.03 ¥1.31 ¥1.59 66

EV/EBITDA ¥1.36 ¥1.75 ¥2.13 67

EV/Revenue ¥0.8000 ¥1.05 ¥1.31 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ¥0.5400 ¥0.8100 ¥1.02 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income ¥1.26 ¥1.24 ¥1.29 76

ROIC Compounder ¥0.8300 ¥0.8900 ¥0.9500 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ¥0.8400 ¥1.21 ¥1.57 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 25

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 40

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 2

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 71

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 73

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 76

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Price momentum 24

Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 13

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 78

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 20/100

Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.

Revenue growth 1 year

−10.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

−4.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+0.4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.1% a year

Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+6.0%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

+3.4%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+3.0%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 3.0% / 31.9%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 6%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

002526 screens overvalued: fair value 34% below the price. Compare with SIE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 814 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 45 · Below median

Fair Value upside −34.3% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 1.3% · Below median

Return on assets 2.3% · Below median

Net margin (12 months) 1.6% · Below median

Operating margin (12 months) −2.2% · Bottom 25%

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −22.9% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (12 months) 0.4% · Bottom 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 141.0× · Priciest 25%

P/B 1.55× · Cheaper than median

P/S (12 months) 2.62× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 35.2× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0

FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 31

PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 27

HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96

DIVIDEND (yield)7 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Cummins Inc CMI	$450.07	$359.36	−20%	vs 002526
SIE SIE	€263.65	€149.56	−43%	vs 002526
AMETEK, Inc AME	$228.67	$125.74	−45%	vs 002526
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW	$280.95	$154.30	−45%	vs 002526
Sandvik AB SAND	kr 357.40	kr 194.33	−46%	vs 002526
Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH	$917.79	$492.92	−46%	vs 002526
Emerson Electric Co EMR	$162.35	$79.99	−51%	vs 002526
Eaton Corporation ETN	$341.72	$156.90	−54%	vs 002526
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK	$375.86	$139.31	−63%	vs 002526
GE Vernova Inc GEV	$774.11	$143.50	−81%	vs 002526

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.85 versus a price of ¥2.82, about 34% lower (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 002526?

Our model-based fair value for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is ¥1.85 (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥2.82.

What is the quality score of 002526?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.85 (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.29, optimistic scenario ¥1.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ¥1.85, about 34% lower versus a price of ¥2.82 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.29, optimistic scenario ¥1.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).

Does Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd pay a dividend?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 0.35% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 7, 2026).

How much is the dividend of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) and when is the ex-dividend date?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.01 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Jul 10, 2026. The payout ratio is 50.0% of earnings. Our assessment: Token dividend. At a yield of 0.4% the dividend is symbolic. On paper it is not fully covered by earnings or free cash flow, but at this size that hardly matters: even scrapping it entirely would cost less than 0.4% a year, and coverage ratios on amounts this small swing with ordinary working-capital movements. Judge this company on its business, not on its dividend.

What is the intrinsic value of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd it is ¥1.85 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of ¥2.82. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models in 6 families (Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).

Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Nov 7, 2026, 002526 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥2.82, fair value ¥1.85, a gap of about −34% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 002526?

No. The price is what the market pays today (¥2.82); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.85). For Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd the two are ¥0.9680 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd worth?

The market values Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd at about 5.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is ¥2.82; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.85 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002526?

Our models span a range for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.29, base ¥1.85, optimistic ¥1.97 per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price ¥2.82). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 002526?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 141.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.85 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings: 36.2. Other multiples: P/B 1.6, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 35.2.

How solid is the balance sheet of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Balance-sheet figures for Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 002526 from its 52-week high?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd trades at ¥2.82, about 30% below its 52-week high of ¥4.03 and 14% above the low of ¥2.48 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.85 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value SIE, GE Vernova Inc, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price ¥2.82, calculated fair value ¥1.85 (−34%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 002526 calculated?

We run Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd through 15 models from 6 families: Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥1.85 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥2.82. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.85, about 34% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Where does the earnings growth of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) come from?

Earnings per share at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd grew +18.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.4 %, EBIT margin +21.0 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The market capitalisation of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 5.0B CNY (≈ $754M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 2.62 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Earnings per share at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd are ¥0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 141.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The dividend yield of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 0.4% (payout 50.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The net margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 1.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is 2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

The operating margin of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Revenue at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is growing −22.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526)?

Earnings per share at Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd are growing −81.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) generate?

The free cash flow of Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd is −228M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd (002526) hold?

Shandong Mining Machinery Group Co Ltd holds more cash than debt, 352M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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