Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp stock ¥1.48, price ¥13.52, upside -89.1%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.39 – ¥20.60 · fair‑value band ¥1.06 – ¥1.60 · the ¥13.52 price screens above the ¥1.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 26, 2026.
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Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, produces, and sells thick-walled sliding bearings, and parts and kits in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
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It offers DQY end cover sliding bearing series and ZQ/ZQKT pedestal sliding bearing series, which are used in large and medium-sized AC and DC motors, and other rotating machinery.
The company also provides ZH dynamic and static pressure seat sliding bearing series used for large reversible variable speed AC and DC motors, such as rolling mills, mine hoists, etc.; VTBS vertical thrust bearing series, which are used in hydraulic generators, water pumps, etc.
In addition, it offers 1000MW/600MW/300MW bearing series used in steam turbine generators; and parts and accessories of bearings in hydropower, thermal power, wind power, nuclear power, and electric motors, including generator main shaft, turbine generator volute, steam turbine generator cover, gas turbine cylinder, wind turbine hub, nacelle, wind turbine generator base, etc.
Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Zhuji, the People's Republic of China. Shenke Slide Bearing Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Shenzhen Huili Hongsheng Industrial Holdings Enterprise (Limited Partnership).
Stock analysis
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633) currently trades at ¥13.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥1.48, 89.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥1.68 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥13.52 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥0.2200, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥1.06 (bear) to ¥1.60 (bull), the price of ¥13.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp reported revenue of 312M CNY in FY2025 versus 212M CNY in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 2.0B CNY (≈ $305M) Small · P/E ratio 169.0 · P/S ratio 6.18 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.0800 · Dividend yield 0.0% · Net margin 3.6% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −89%, 002633 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥0.0200 to ¥11.70). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear¥1.06Fair Value ¥1.48Bull¥1.60
Price ¥13.52 · Upside -89.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0658 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.77/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.1% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.4% (2020) → 5.7% (2025)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Shenke Slide Bearing Corp with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 255 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Above median
Fair Value upside−89.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Return on assets0.8% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)8.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)16.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)169.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B4.78× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)6.18× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA57.2× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)82· sector 65
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥1.48 versus a price of ¥13.52, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002633?
Our model-based fair value for Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is ¥1.48 (as of Oct 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.52.
What is the quality score of 002633?
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥1.48 (as of Oct 26, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.06, optimistic scenario ¥1.60. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shenke Slide Bearing Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥1.48, about −89% upside versus a price of ¥13.52 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.06, optimistic scenario ¥1.60. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 328M CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 26, 2026).
Does Shenke Slide Bearing Corp pay a dividend?
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 0.01% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 26, 2026).
What growth is priced into Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Shenke Slide Bearing Corp would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.0 % per year. As of Oct 26, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 002633 use?
Our models discount Shenke Slide Bearing Corp at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Shenke Slide Bearing Corp that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Shenke Slide Bearing Corp grew +13.0 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.19 %: that much free cash flow Shenke Slide Bearing Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shenke Slide Bearing Corp it is ¥1.48 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026), against a price of ¥13.52. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shenke Slide Bearing Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 26, 2026, 002633 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.52, fair value ¥1.48, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002633?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥1.48). For Shenke Slide Bearing Corp the two are ¥12.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shenke Slide Bearing Corp worth?
The market values Shenke Slide Bearing Corp at about 2.0B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Oct 26, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.52; our models calculate a fair value of ¥1.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002633?
Our models span a range for Shenke Slide Bearing Corp: cautious scenario ¥1.06, base ¥1.48, optimistic ¥1.60 per share (as of Oct 26, 2026, price ¥13.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 002633?
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 169.0 (as of Oct 26, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥1.48 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 6.2, EV/EBITDA 57.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (as of Oct 26, 2026): return on equity 3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002633 from its 52-week high?
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp trades at ¥13.52, about 34% below its 52-week high of ¥20.60 and 9% above the low of ¥12.35 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥1.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shenke Slide Bearing Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shenke Slide Bearing Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 26, 2026: price ¥13.52, calculated fair value ¥1.48 (−89%), Quality Score 55/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002633 calculated?
We run Shenke Slide Bearing Corp through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥1.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Shenke Slide Bearing Corp itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was ¥13.52. Our model-based fair value is ¥1.48, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shenke Slide Bearing Corp right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥1.60). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The market capitalisation of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is 2.0B CNY (≈ $305M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is 6.18 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Earnings per share at Shenke Slide Bearing Corp are ¥0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 169.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The dividend yield of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is 0.0% (payout 2.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The net margin of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is 3.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is −1.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
The operating margin of Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Revenue at Shenke Slide Bearing Corp is growing +16.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633)?
Earnings per share at Shenke Slide Bearing Corp are growing +88.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Shenke Slide Bearing Corp (002633) hold?
Shenke Slide Bearing Corp holds more cash than debt, 22.0M CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Oct 26, 2026