Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co (002679) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥0.6700 to ¥4.51 (+573.1%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +10.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.59). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.19 – ¥26.24 · fair‑value band ¥3.37 – ¥5.59 · the ¥8.95 price screens above the ¥4.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co (002679) currently trades at ¥8.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.51, implying the stock looks roughly 49.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co generated revenue of 152M CNY at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue grew 56.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.1%. Net debt stands at 884M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.37 (bear case) to ¥5.59 (bull case); at ¥8.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at -50%, 002679 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.18) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.3300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in forest resource cultivation business in China.
Full company description
Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co.,Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in forest resource cultivation business in China. The company is involved in forest management and protection; afforestation and regeneration; tree seedling cultivation; tree breeding; planting of flowers and other horticultural plants; investment in forestry and agricultural projects; forestry technical consulting; and planting of Chinese medicinal herbs, as well as carbon sink development management and energy management. It also sells wood, bamboo, timber, and agriculture products. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Sanming, China. Fujian Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co.,Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Fujian Jinsen Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Fujian Jinsen Forestry Co reported revenue of ¥149M in FY2025 versus ¥190M in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥9.2M in FY2025, compounding −8.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue −1.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
002679 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Simpson Manufacturing Co →
Peer Group
Lumber & Wood Production · 79 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Lumber & Wood Production median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Lumber & Wood Production stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simpson Manufacturing Co SSD | $194.83 | $145.26 | -25% |
| West Fraser Timber Co WFG | C$97.70 | C$33.38 | -66% |
| UFP Industries, Inc UFPI | $92.82 | $107.07 | +15% |
| Stella-Jones Inc SJ | C$75.22 | C$92.56 | +23% |
| Boise Cascade Company BCC | $84.25 | $51.39 | -39% |
| Century Plyboards (India) Limited CENTURYPLY | ₹763.85 | ₹201.01 | -74% |
| DeHua TB New Decoration Material Co 002043 | ¥12.58 | ¥14.78 | +17% |
| Canfor Corporation CFP | C$15.73 | C$4.54 | -71% |
| Interfor Corporation IFP | C$14.38 | C$6.43 | -55% |
| Kangxin New Materials Co 600076 | ¥3.17 | ¥0.6700 | -79% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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