Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd stock HK$46.74, price HK$33.42, upside +39.9%, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$23.51 – HK$54.65 · fair‑value band HK$32.62 – HK$60.76 · the HK$33.42 price screens below the HK$46.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 13, 2026.
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Galaxy Entertainment Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the gaming and entertainment businesses in Macau, Hong Kong, and Mainland China. It operates through Gaming and Entertainment, and Construction Materials segments.
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The company operates casino games of chance or games of other forms; provides hospitality and related services; and manufacture, sale and distribution of construction materials.
It develops and operates operates three flagship destinations in Macau such as integrated destination resorts in Galaxy Macau; unique landmark entertainment and food street destination adjoining Broadway Macau; and StarWorld Hotel, a five-star luxury hotel on the Peninsula.
In addition, the company engages in sale and distribution of concrete pipes; provision of management services; and manufacture, sale, distribution and laying of asphalt, road base and bituminous materials, bricks, concrete pipes, cement, and slag; and provision of road marking services; and ready-mixed concrete; as well as management of galaxy international convention center and galaxy arena.
Further, it offers truck leasing; quality assurance; cross-border transportation service, hospitality, marketing and promotion services, and project management activities. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Central, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) currently trades at HK$33.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$46.74, implying the stock looks roughly 29% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$57.90 per share, and 15 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$33.42 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$22.47, and 11 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$32.62 (bear) to HK$60.76 (bull), the price of HK$33.42 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$29.6B in FY2025 versus HK$13.0B in FY2021, a compound +22.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$10.7B in FY2025, compounding +68.4%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap HK$147B (≈ $18.7B) Large · P/E ratio 13.7 · P/S ratio 4.93 · Dividend yield 5.1% · Net margin 36.1% · Return on equity 13.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.2% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 70 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 37% fair-value upside, at 40%, 0027 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$32.62Fair Value HK$46.74BullHK$60.76
Price HK$33.42 · Upside +39.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+49.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.1%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+14.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8.0% vs 5.2%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−40% → 32%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 7.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−2.1%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+15.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −4.1% a year for the price and +12.7% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (57 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Compare Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 64 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+39.9% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)13.0% · Above median
Return on assets10.7% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)21.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)19.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.2% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)5.1% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.77× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.92× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)13.6× · Cheaper than median
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0027
Frequently asked questions
Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$46.74 versus a price of HK$33.42, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0027?
Our model-based fair value for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is HK$46.74 (as of Nov 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$33.42.
What is the quality score of 0027?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$46.74 (as of Nov 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$32.62, optimistic scenario HK$60.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$46.74, about +40% upside versus a price of HK$33.42 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$32.62, optimistic scenario HK$60.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$50.3B (latest available figure, as of Nov 13, 2026).
Does Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 5.09% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 13, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd pays a dividend of HK$1.70 per share a year, a dividend yield of 5.1%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 25, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2022. The payout ratio is 69.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 1.45 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Today's price is already fair in a discounted-cash-flow model if free cash flow at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd shrinks by 2.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew 18.1 % per year. As of Nov 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 0027 use?
Our models discount Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd at 8.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd that is -2.1 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (8.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd grew 18.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -2.1 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (-2.1 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.34 %: that much free cash flow Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd it is HK$46.74 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026), against a price of HK$33.42. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 13, 2026, 0027 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$33.42, fair value HK$46.74, a gap of about +40% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 0027?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$33.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$46.74). For Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd the two are HK$13.32 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd worth?
The market values Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd at about HK$147B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 13, 2026). Per share that is HK$33.42; our models calculate a fair value of HK$46.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 0027?
Our models span a range for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$32.62, base HK$46.74, optimistic HK$60.76 per share (as of Nov 13, 2026, price HK$33.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 0027?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.7 (as of Nov 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$46.74 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 21.1. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 1.8, P/S 2.9, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
What is the PEG ratio of 0027?
The PEG ratio of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 1.62 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Balance-sheet figures for Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (as of Nov 13, 2026): return on equity 13.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 0027 from its 52-week high?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd trades at HK$33.42, about 20% below its 52-week high of HK$41.75 and 17% above the low of HK$28.47 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$46.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, MGM Resorts International, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 13, 2026: price HK$33.42, calculated fair value HK$46.74 (+40%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 0027 calculated?
We run Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$46.74 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1% above its aggregate fair value. Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd currently trades 29% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was HK$33.42. Our model-based fair value is HK$46.74, about +40% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd right now?
Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$32.62 to HK$60.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) come from?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd grew 2.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −6.7 %, EBIT margin +8.7 %, tax rate +0.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The market capitalisation of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is HK$147B (≈ $18.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 4.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The dividend yield of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 5.1%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The net margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 36.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 4.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
The operating margin of Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Revenue at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd is growing 4.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +52.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027)?
Earnings per share at Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd are growing 0.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd (0027) hold?
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$11.7B net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 13, 2026