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Caesars Entertainment, Inc (CZR) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.1B

CE Caesars Entertainment, Inc logo Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR · US
Price$30.15
Fair Value$80.92
Upside+168.4%
Quality40/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -4.2% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range $29.45 – $80.92 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 168% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (40/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($29.45 to $80.92). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$119.49 $18.14 Fair Value $80.92 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.14 – $119.49 · fair‑value band $29.45 – $80.92 · the $30.15 price screens below the $80.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Caesars Entertainment, Inc (CZR) currently trades at $30.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $80.92, implying the stock looks roughly 168.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Caesars Entertainment, Inc generated revenue of $11.6B at a net margin of -4.2%. Revenue grew 2.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.7%. Net debt stands at $25.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.45 (bear case) to $80.92 (bull case); at $30.15, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 168%, CZR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.53 $51.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.88 $81.74 74
ROIC Compounder $37.83 $72.35 $107.76 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.58 $67.24 38
5Y Revenue Exit $30.72 $88.38 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $56.56 $174.88 $332.31 41
10Y Revenue Exit $22.57 $85.48 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $30.65 $129.03 $295.67 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $30.53 $43.71 $55.08 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.16 $2.32 $3.51 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.16 $2.00 $2.45 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $84.78 $130.69 $176.60 53
EV/EBITDA $101.49 $152.96 $204.43 54
EV/Revenue $14.73 $35.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.60 $11.53 $17.20 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.53 $51.87 80
Rev-Margin DCF $28.88 $81.74 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $37.83 $72.35 $107.76 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($130.69) versus Dividend Discount ($2.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.7%
Net margin -4.2%
Return on equity -10.7%
Free cash flow $520M FY2025
Operating margin 17.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.36
EPS growth (YoY) +41.7%
Net debt $25.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 40/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates as a gaming and hospitality company. It owns, leases, brands, or manages domestic properties in 18 states with slot machines, video lottery terminals and e-tables, and hotel rooms, as well as table games, including poker.

Full company description

Caesars Entertainment, Inc. operates as a gaming and hospitality company. It owns, leases, brands, or manages domestic properties in 18 states with slot machines, video lottery terminals and e-tables, and hotel rooms, as well as table games, including poker. The company also operates and conducts online gaming, retail and online sports wagering across 42 jurisdictions in North America, and iGaming in five jurisdictions in North America; sports betting from retail and online sportsbooks; and other games, such as keno. In addition, it operates casinos, dining venues, bars, nightclubs, lounges, hotels, and entertainment venues; and provides staffing and management services. The company was founded in 1937 and is based in Reno, Nevada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Caesars Entertainment, Inc reported revenue of $11.5B in FY2025 versus $9.6B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$502M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$11.5B
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+2.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+25.9%
Avg. growth/yr (38Y)
+7.3%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 $9.6B
FY22 $10.8B
FY23 $11.5B
FY24 $11.2B
FY25 $11.5B
Net income
FY21 −$1.0B
FY22 −$899M
FY23 $786M
FY24 −$278M
FY25 −$502M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Caesars Entertainment, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CZR

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 40 · Below median
Fair Value upside +168% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Debt / equity 3.33× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.74× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 3.26× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 19
FUTURE 14 · sector 33
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $44.79 $52.27 +17%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$34.20 HK$41.44 +21%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$13.08 HK$2.05 -84%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $46.13 $13.70 -70%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $97.05 $69.39 -29%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $64.75 $17.09 -74%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $87.64 $151.24 +73%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.6900 SGD +11%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $150.14 $125.02 -17%
MGM China Holdings 2282 HK$11.36 HK$24.07 +112%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Caesars Entertainment, Inc (CZR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $80.92 versus a price of $30.15, about +168% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CZR?
Our model-based fair value for Caesars Entertainment, Inc is $80.92 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.15.
What is the quality score of CZR?
Caesars Entertainment, Inc has a Quality Score of 40/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Caesars Entertainment, Inc (CZR)?
Caesars Entertainment, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CZR?
The net profit margin of Caesars Entertainment, Inc is about -4.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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