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MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of MGM China Holdings Ltd HK$29.39, price HK$9.80, upside +200.0%, quality 78 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · HK · ISIN KYG607441022

MC Thin data Sep 27, 2026

MGM China Holdings Ltd

2282 · HK

Strongly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside with high Quality.

✓Fair value HK$29.39 · Strongly undervalued (+200.0%)

✓Quality 78/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +46.8 %/yr)

✓Solidly profitable · 12.9% net margin (TTM)

!High debt · generates free cash flow

✓5.4% dividend yield · Sustainable

✓Ranks above peers (12/15)

✓Wide moat 73/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on future: 22 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear HK$17.05 to bull HK$38.20 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 78/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$2.65 – HK$16.03 · fair‑value band HK$17.05 – HK$38.20 · the HK$9.80 price screens below the HK$29.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

MGM China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development, ownership, and operation of gaming and lodging resorts in the Greater China region.

MGM China Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the development, ownership, and operation of gaming and lodging resorts in the Greater China region. The company develops and operates casino games of chance and other casino games, and related hotel and resort facilities, as well as provides hotel management services; and develops integrated resorts in Macau. It owns and operates MGM Macau, an integrated resort that includes a casino with slot machines, gaming tables, multiple VIP, and private gaming areas; a hotel with rooms, suites, and villas; and amenities, including restaurants, retail outlets, pool, and spa facilities, as well as a convention space and museum. The company also owns MGM COTAI, a resort that consists of a casino with slot machines and gaming tables; hotel with rooms, suites, and skylofts; restaurants and bars; retail outlets; and meeting space, as well as other non-gaming offerings. In addition, it is involved in the provision of outsourcing services, including information technology, accounting, human resources, hotel reservation, and convention consultation. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Macau. MGM China Holdings Limited operates as a subsidiary of MGM Resorts International Holdings, Ltd,

Stock analysis

MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) currently trades at HK$9.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$29.39, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$47.38 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$9.80 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$5.46, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$17.05 (bear) to HK$38.20 (bull), the price of HK$9.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

MGM China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$34.8B in FY2025 versus HK$9.4B in FY2021, a compound +38.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.1B in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$37.3B (≈ $4.8B) · P/E ratio 8.0 · P/S ratio 1.17 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.3300 · Dividend yield 5.4% · Net margin 14.6% · Return on equity 159% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at 200%, 2282 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$17.05 Fair Value HK$29.39 Bull HK$38.20

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF HK$31.71 HK$52.83 HK$113.07 75

EPV HK$12.16 HK$14.45 HK$16.42 74

Growth DCF HK$29.98 HK$58.15 HK$110.64 74

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF HK$31.71 HK$52.83 HK$113.07 75

Owner Earnings HK$25.15 HK$58.54 HK$126.06 70

5Y Revenue Exit HK$13.32 HK$22.06 HK$38.56 70

5Y EBITDA Exit HK$22.17 HK$41.06 HK$75.56 72

5Y P/E Exit HK$22.92 HK$47.38 HK$78.58 68

10Y Revenue Exit HK$18.52 HK$32.41 HK$45.46 66

10Y EBITDA Exit HK$24.95 HK$49.04 HK$91.85 65

10Y P/E Exit HK$25.47 HK$50.46 HK$92.64 61

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd HK$9.09 HK$63.40 HK$88.98 63

Lynch FV HK$19.39 HK$27.70 HK$36.01 61

PEG = 1.0 HK$19.39 HK$27.70 HK$36.01 57

EPV HK$12.16 HK$14.45 HK$16.42 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM HK$4.97 HK$9.90 HK$15.00 67

DDM Multi-Stage HK$4.97 HK$8.56 HK$10.45 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple HK$22.06 HK$29.41 HK$36.77 63

P/S Multiple HK$8.25 HK$11.00 HK$13.75 58

P/B Multiple HK$2.57 HK$3.42 HK$4.28 55

EV/EBIT HK$21.56 HK$29.52 HK$37.47 66

EV/EBITDA HK$18.67 HK$25.67 HK$32.66 67

EV/Revenue HK$5.40 HK$8.70 HK$12.00 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4300 HK$0.5700 HK$0.8600 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF HK$29.98 HK$58.15 HK$110.64 74

Rev-Margin DCF HK$13.32 HK$24.15 HK$40.28 70

Economic Profit

Residual Income HK$3.16 HK$5.46 HK$16.09 64

ROIC Compounder HK$14.55 HK$20.19 HK$27.29 71

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E HK$26.77 HK$38.25 HK$49.72 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 78/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 90

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 73

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 83

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 31

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 93

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 54

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 25

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 3

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 83

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 100/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+10.8%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+87.6%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+46.8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.3% a year

Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+10.3%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.

+23.1%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+17.7%

Dividend (yield on the price)5.4%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.21.2% vs 5.0%, picking up

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−81% → 19%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price

The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.

What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).

−7.7%

Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.

What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.

+3.4%

Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.

After inflation (Hong Kong: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.6% a year for the price and +1.2% for the forecasts.

Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.8%

Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.2%

Projected 2028 (sales)+3.9%

Projected 2029 (sales)+3.6%

Projected 2030 (sales)+3.4%

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Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (99 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive

Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

MGM China (SEHK:2282) Stock May Trade At A Discount To Earnings Yahoo Finance · Sep 16, 2026
Is MGM China Holdings (SEHK:2282) Still Undervalued After Its Strong 65% Return? Yahoo Finance · Sep 9, 2025
MGM China Reports 2025 Second Quarter Results Yahoo Finance · Jul 30, 2025

Compare MGM China Holdings Ltd with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 69 stocks

Beats the industry median on 12/15 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 78 · Top 25%

Fair Value upside +200.0% · Top 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 158.7% · Top 25%

Return on assets 12.8% · Top 25%

Net margin (TTM) 12.9% · Top 25%

Operating margin (TTM) 15.8% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 4.4% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 5.4% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 4.04× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.0× · Cheapest 25%

P/B 11.49× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 1.05× · Cheaper than median

P/FCF 5.2× · Cheapest 25%

EV/EBITDA 5.6× · Cheaper than median

PEG 2.50× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 49

FUTURE (revenue growth)22 · sector 21

PAST (return on equity)100 · sector 15

HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 75

DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS	$38.78	$55.26	+42%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027	HK$31.70	HK$46.74	+47%
Sands China Ltd 1928	HK$11.91	HK$18.87	+58%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN	$81.12	$147.69	+82%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM	$32.58	$18.04	−45%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR	$29.59	$80.89	+173%
Genting Singapore Limited G13	0.6150 SGD	0.5600 SGD	−9%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR	$50.76	$31.15	−39%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD	$71.23	$130.75	+84%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN	$136.11	$152.57	+12%

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MGM China Holdings Ltd · Fair Value
HK$29.39 +67%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2282" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">MGM China Holdings Ltd · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">HK$29.39</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+67%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MGM China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/2282

Frequently asked questions

Is MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$29.39 versus a price of HK$9.80, about +200% upside (undervalued).

What is the fair value of 2282?

Our model-based fair value for MGM China Holdings Ltd is HK$29.39 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$9.80.

What is the quality score of 2282?

MGM China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 78/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$29.39 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$17.05, optimistic scenario HK$38.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the MGM China Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at HK$29.39, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$9.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$17.05, optimistic scenario HK$38.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

MGM China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$35.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).

Does MGM China Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?

MGM China Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.43% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).

What growth is priced into MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MGM China Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -7.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +46.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.

What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 2282 use?

Our models discount MGM China Holdings Ltd at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.

What is a reverse DCF?

A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MGM China Holdings Ltd that is -7.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.

How much growth has MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) delivered so far?

Over the past 5 years revenue at MGM China Holdings Ltd grew +46.8 % a year. The price currently implies -7.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.

How fast is the sector of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) growing?

The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MGM China Holdings Ltd (-7.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.

What is the free cash flow yield of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.22 %: that much free cash flow MGM China Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.

What is the intrinsic value of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MGM China Holdings Ltd it is HK$29.39 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$9.80. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is MGM China Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 27, 2026, 2282 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$9.80, fair value HK$29.39, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 2282?

No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$9.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$29.39). For MGM China Holdings Ltd the two are HK$19.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is MGM China Holdings Ltd worth?

The market values MGM China Holdings Ltd at about HK$37.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$9.80; our models calculate a fair value of HK$29.39 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 2282?

Our models span a range for MGM China Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$17.05, base HK$29.39, optimistic HK$38.20 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$9.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 2282?

MGM China Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.0 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$29.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 11.5, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.6.

What is the PEG ratio of 2282?

The PEG ratio of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 2.50 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

Balance-sheet figures for MGM China Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 158.7%, debt of 4.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 78/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 2282 from its 52-week high?

MGM China Holdings Ltd trades at HK$9.80, about 39% below its 52-week high of HK$16.02 and 4% above the low of HK$9.42 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$29.39 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to MGM China Holdings Ltd?

From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, Wynn Resorts, Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is MGM China Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$9.80, calculated fair value HK$29.39 (+200%), Quality Score 78/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 2282 calculated?

We run MGM China Holdings Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$29.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. MGM China Holdings Ltd currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$9.80. Our model-based fair value is HK$29.39, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with MGM China Holdings Ltd right now?

The rarer combination: high quality (78/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$17.05). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$17.05 to HK$38.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Where does the earnings growth of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) come from?

Earnings per share at MGM China Holdings Ltd grew +0.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.2 %, EBIT margin −1.0 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of MGM China Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The market capitalisation of MGM China Holdings Ltd is HK$37.3B (≈ $4.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The price-to-sales ratio of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 1.17 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

Earnings per share at MGM China Holdings Ltd are HK$0.3300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The dividend yield of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 5.4% (payout 161%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The net margin of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 14.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The return on equity (ROE) of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 159% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 7.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

The operating margin of MGM China Holdings Ltd is 15.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

Revenue at MGM China Holdings Ltd is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +87.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282)?

Earnings per share at MGM China Holdings Ltd are growing −20.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much net debt does MGM China Holdings Ltd (2282) carry?

The net debt of MGM China Holdings Ltd is HK$14.8B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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