Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.0B
Wynn Resorts, Limited
WYNN · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 21 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $80.43 to $69.39 (−13.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 32% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($47.67 to $100.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $50.32 – $132.45 · fair‑value band $47.67 – $100.78 · the $101.50 price screens above the $69.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) currently trades at $101.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.39, implying the stock looks roughly 31.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Wynn Resorts, Limited generated revenue of $7.3B at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 9.2% year over year. Net debt stands at $10.8B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 29.7. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $47.67 (bear case) to $100.78 (bull case); at $101.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at -32%, WYNN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 21 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($142.24) versus Economic Profit ($61.87). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor.
Full company description
Wynn Resorts, Limited designs, develops, and operates integrated resorts. It operates in four segments: Wynn Palace, Wynn Macau, Las Vegas Operations, and Encore Boston Harbor. The Wynn Palace segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, and sky casinos; a luxury hotel tower with suites and villas, as well as a health club, spa, salon, and pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; and a performance lake, an immersive entertainment center, Western and Asian art displays, and a gondola ride. Its Wynn Macau segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, sky casinos, and a poker room; luxury hotel towers with health clubs, spas, a salon, and a pool; food and beverage outlets; retail space; meeting and convention space; a performance lake; and a rotunda show featuring Chinese zodiac-inspired ceilings. The Las Vegas Operations segment operates casino space, private gaming salons, a sky casino, a poker room, and a race and sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, villas, swimming pools, private cabanas, full-service spas and salons, and a wedding chapel; food and beverage outlets; meeting and convention space; retail space; a golf course; nightclubs; a beach club; and theaters. Its Encore Boston Harbor segment operates casino space, private and high-limit gaming areas, and a sports book; a luxury hotel tower with suites, a spa, and a salon; food and beverage outlets; a nightclub; retail space; meeting and convention space; a waterfront park; floral displays; and water shuttle services. Wynn Resorts, Limited was incorporated in 2002 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Wynn Resorts, Limited reported revenue of $7.1B in FY2025 versus $3.8B in FY2021, a compound +17.4%/yr. Reported net income was $327M in FY2025.
WYNN screens 32% overvalued. Compare with Las Vegas Sands Corp →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Wynn Resorts Set to Report Q2 Earnings: Key Things to Watch
- Analysts Estimate Wynn Resorts (WYNN) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
- 3 Reasons WYNN is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead
Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $44.79 | $52.27 | +17% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$41.44 | +21% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$13.08 | HK$2.05 | -84% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $46.13 | $13.70 | -70% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $64.75 | $17.09 | -74% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $87.64 | $151.24 | +73% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.91 | $80.92 | +171% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6150 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +12% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $150.14 | $125.02 | -17% |
| MGM China Holdings 2282 | HK$11.36 | HK$24.07 | +112% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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