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Zhejiang Shibao Company (002703) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 13.2B CNY

ZS Zhejiang Shibao Company 002703 · SHE
Price¥15.09
Fair Value¥4.55
Upside-69.9%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: High Range ¥2.55 – ¥5.69 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 5, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 36 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 5, 2026, revised from ¥6.56 to ¥4.55 (−30.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +11.5% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥2.55 to ¥5.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥27.76 ¥3.96 Fair Value ¥4.55 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.96 – ¥27.76 · fair‑value band ¥2.55 – ¥5.69 · the ¥15.09 price screens above the ¥4.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Shibao Company (002703) currently trades at ¥15.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.55, implying the stock looks roughly 69.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Shibao Company generated revenue of 3.6B CNY at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 337M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.55 (bear case) to ¥5.69 (bull case); at ¥15.09, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -70%, 002703 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥0.9000 ¥1.27 ¥1.91 80
Residual Income ¥2.14 ¥2.33 ¥3.05 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.77 ¥5.30 ¥6.72 72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥0.9100 ¥1.20 ¥1.95 38
Owner Earnings ¥1.67 ¥2.94 ¥5.45 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥2.77 ¥5.43 ¥9.59 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥3.32 ¥6.67 ¥11.50 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.12 ¥6.29 ¥10.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥2.08 ¥4.54 ¥8.62 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥2.58 ¥5.51 ¥10.85 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥2.44 ¥5.15 ¥9.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥1.49 ¥9.37 ¥13.09 54
Lynch FV ¥2.70 ¥3.86 ¥5.02 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.70 ¥3.86 ¥5.02 46
EPV ¥3.28 ¥3.74 ¥4.14 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥0.5700 ¥1.19 ¥1.89 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥0.5700 ¥1.01 ¥1.25 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥3.62 ¥4.83 ¥6.03 63
P/S Multiple ¥2.80 ¥3.73 ¥4.66 58
P/B Multiple ¥2.80 ¥3.73 ¥4.66 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.86 ¥6.29 ¥7.72 53
EV/EBITDA ¥4.47 ¥5.78 ¥7.08 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.45 ¥4.70 ¥5.94 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.26 ¥1.69 ¥2.52 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥0.9000 ¥1.27 ¥1.91 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥2.14 ¥2.33 ¥3.05 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.77 ¥5.30 ¥6.72 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.93 ¥5.62 ¥7.31 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥5.62) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.6B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.9%
Net margin 4.8%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow 20.1M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 76.1
More key figures
Operating margin 7.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100
EPS growth (YoY) -14.0%
Net cash 337M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 71
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 40
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 70
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Shibao Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive steering systems and other key steering system components in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Zhejiang Shibao Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, researches, develops, manufactures, and sells automotive steering systems and other key steering system components in the People's Republic of China. It offers electric power steering products, including electric power recirculating ball steering gear, electro-hydraulic power recirculating ball steering gear, pinion- assisted and double-pinion-assisted electric power steering, rack-assisted electric power steering, and column-assisted electric power steering; and intelligent steering products, such as steering by wire system, lane keeping aid, rear wheel steering, fully redundant electric-hydraulic and dual motor redundant electric power recirculating ball steering gear. The company also provides hydraulic power steering gear products comprising dual circuit hydraulic power recirculating ball steering gear, hydraulic power recirculating ball steering gear, and hydraulic power rack and pinion steering gear; manual steering gear products, including manual recirculating ball steering gear, and manual rack and pinion steering gear; and steering parts, such as electric four-way adjustable steering column, 18-tooth spline injection molded intermediate shaft, 16-teeth injection slider intermediate shaft, ball-slider intermediate shaft, manual four-way adjustable steering column, steering knuckle and cylinder, pitman arm, hub bracket, and ECU, as well as castings and component products. It supplies steering products to automobile industry. The company was founded in 1984 and is based in Hangzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Shibao Company reported revenue of ¥3.5B in FY2025 versus ¥1.2B in FY2021, a compound +31.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥181M in FY2025, compounding +51.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.5B CNY
Latest YoY
+31.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+36.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+26.3%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+15.3%
Revenue +31.7%/yr
FY21 ¥1.2B
FY22 ¥1.4B
FY23 ¥1.8B
FY24 ¥2.7B
FY25 ¥3.5B
Net income +51.6%/yr
FY21 ¥34.2M
FY22 ¥15.8M
FY23 ¥77.2M
FY24 ¥149M
FY25 ¥181M

002703 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Shibao Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002703

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −70% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 76.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.67× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 97.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 47.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 17
FUTURE 25 · sector 23
PAST 37 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 30

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 5, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 482,000 KRW 678,420 KRW +41%
Magna International Inc MGAN 1,122 MXN 1,172 MXN +4%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹144.17 ₹80.63 -44%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹41,110 ₹14,004 -66%
Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG ₹2,117 ₹441.74 -79%
Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA ₹1,158 ₹426.57 -63%
Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER ₹4,135 ₹1,412 -66%
Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 73,600 KRW 196,479 KRW +167%
MRF Limited MRF ₹131,025 ₹125,849 -4%
Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS ₹792.00 ₹207.06 -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Shibao Company (002703) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥4.55 versus a price of ¥15.09, about −70% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002703?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Shibao Company is ¥4.55 (as of Jul 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥15.09.
What is the quality score of 002703?
Zhejiang Shibao Company has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Shibao Company (002703)?
Zhejiang Shibao Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 5, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002703?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Shibao Company is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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