Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co (002709) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 73.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 21 days ago
Share price −20.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 71% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥14.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.76 to ¥14.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥12.80 – ¥78.24 · fair‑value band ¥7.76 – ¥14.20 · the ¥39.25 price screens above the ¥11.36 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co (002709) currently trades at ¥39.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.36, implying the stock looks roughly 71.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co generated revenue of 19.8B CNY at a net margin of 14.5%. Revenue grew 91.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.4%. Net debt stands at 182M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.76 (bear case) to ¥14.20 (bull case); at ¥39.25, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 139% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -71%, 002709 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥27.12) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fine chemical materials in China and internationally.
Full company description
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of fine chemical materials in China and internationally. The company offers personal care products, including shampoo, conditioner, shower gel, hand sanitizer, skin care, and disinfection and sanitization products; rheology and sensory modifier, mild and mild taurate surfactant, silicone, emulsifier, cationic conditioner, suspending stabilizer, natural methyl glucoside derivative, chelating agent, naturally derived preservative, and UV filters; makeup products, such as skin feel conditioner-silicone elastomer gel, carbohydrate thickener, and film former; and household cleaning and pet care products, which include amino acid and amphoteric mild surfactant, conditioner, and thickener. It also provides lithium-ion and sodium-ion battery electrolytes; electrolytes and additives; solid electrolyte; cathode materials; and specialty chemicals. In addition, the company offers lithium battery recycling, personal care, and battery materials solutions. The company serves the papermaking, construction, pesticides, oil fields, organosilicon products, rubber and plastics, printing, and dyeing industries. Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is based in Guangzhou, China
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co reported revenue of ¥16.6B in FY2025 versus ¥11.1B in FY2021, a compound +10.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.4B in FY2025, compounding −11.4%/yr from FY2021.
002709 screens 71% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →
Peer Group
Specialty Chemicals · 680 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $520.74 | $226.27 | -57% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 181.50 TWD | 255.83 TWD | +41% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥70.04 | ¥68.03 | -3% |
| Novozymes A/S NSISB | kr 428.20 | kr 179.66 | -58% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,689 | ₹668.81 | -75% |
| Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS | ₹18,236 | ₹2,793 | -85% |
| Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND | ₹1,560 | ₹351.84 | -77% |
| PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA | 1,805 IDR | 2,888 IDR | +60% |
| Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA | ₹7,115 | ₹757.93 | -89% |
| Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT | ₹493.70 | ₹164.29 | -67% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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