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Sunrise Group (002752) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY

SG Sunrise Group 002752 · SHE
Price¥5.94
Fair Value¥5.34
Upside-10.1%
Quality55/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.59% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range ¥4.01 – ¥6.68 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price −6.6% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥4.01 (bear) to ¥6.68 (bull), base ¥5.34. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 55/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥8.69 ¥3.64 Fair Value ¥5.34 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥3.64 – ¥8.69 · fair‑value band ¥4.01 – ¥6.68 · the ¥5.94 price screens above the ¥5.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Sunrise Group (002752) currently trades at ¥5.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.34, implying the stock looks roughly 10.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sunrise Group generated revenue of 7.4B CNY at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at 497M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥4.01 (bear case) to ¥6.68 (bull case); at ¥5.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -10%, 002752 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥3.72 ¥6.01 ¥9.68 80
Residual Income ¥3.04 ¥3.28 ¥3.88 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.78 ¥6.29 ¥9.51 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥3.74 ¥6.26 ¥10.44 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.18 ¥8.78 ¥14.75 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥3.78 ¥6.36 ¥9.85 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.98 ¥8.82 ¥13.64 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥3.96 ¥6.72 ¥9.86 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥3.62 ¥6.03 ¥9.69 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥4.51 ¥7.79 ¥12.77 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥3.85 ¥6.29 ¥9.70 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.14 ¥9.70 ¥13.30 54
Lynch FV ¥2.54 ¥3.62 ¥4.71 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.54 ¥3.62 ¥4.71 46
EPV ¥3.27 ¥3.72 ¥4.12 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.15 ¥2.30 ¥3.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.15 ¥1.98 ¥2.42 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥4.01 ¥5.34 ¥6.68 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.01 ¥5.34 ¥6.68 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.01 ¥5.34 ¥6.68 55
EV/EBIT ¥4.39 ¥5.72 ¥7.06 53
EV/EBITDA ¥6.08 ¥7.98 ¥9.87 54
EV/Revenue ¥3.85 ¥5.34 ¥6.83 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥1.82 ¥2.43 ¥3.63 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥3.72 ¥6.01 ¥9.68 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥3.78 ¥6.29 ¥9.51 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥3.04 ¥3.28 ¥3.88 76
ROIC Compounder ¥3.27 ¥3.83 ¥4.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.67 ¥5.24 ¥6.81 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥6.36) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 7.4B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.7%
Net margin 4.9%
Return on equity 9.9%
Free cash flow 271M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 17.0
More key figures
Operating margin 9.7%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.3700
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +60.0%
Net debt 497M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 58
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 62
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 31
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sunrise Group Company Limited engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of food and beverage packaging containers in China. The company offers beverage cans and food cans, including three-piece cans, two-piece cans, aluminum bottles, and metal packaging products.

Full company description

Sunrise Group Company Limited engages in the research and development, design, production, and sales of food and beverage packaging containers in China. The company offers beverage cans and food cans, including three-piece cans, two-piece cans, aluminum bottles, and metal packaging products. It also engages in the beverage filling, appearance packaging design, and logistics support business, as well as research and development, design, printing, production, distribution, filling, and information intelligent data services. In addition, the company leases land and property. Further, it provides supply chain management services; QR code canning services; easy-open lids; bottle caps; color printing, value-added, and photoelectric lighting services; and energy-saving products. The company was formerly known as Shengxing Group Co.,Ltd and changed its name to Sunrise Group Company Limited in December 2019. The company was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Fuzhou, China. Sunrise Group Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shengxing Holdings Co., Ltd.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sunrise Group reported revenue of ¥7.2B in FY2025 versus ¥5.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥307M in FY2025, compounding +15.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
7.2B CNY
Latest YoY
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+17.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y)
+14.2%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 ¥5.7B
FY22 ¥7.1B
FY23 ¥7.1B
FY24 ¥7.1B
FY25 ¥7.2B
Net income +15.9%/yr
FY21 ¥170M
FY22 ¥209M
FY23 ¥333M
FY24 ¥423M
FY25 ¥307M

002752 screens 10% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sunrise Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002752

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 273 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.83× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 3.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 20 · sector 9
FUTURE 84 · sector 1
PAST 40 · sector 21
HEALTH 95 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 32 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sunrise Group (002752) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.34 versus a price of ¥5.94, about −10% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002752?
Our model-based fair value for Sunrise Group is ¥5.34 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥5.94.
What is the quality score of 002752?
Sunrise Group has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sunrise Group (002752)?
Sunrise Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002752?
The net profit margin of Sunrise Group is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sunrise Group pay a dividend?
Sunrise Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.59% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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