Nanxing Machinery Co (002757) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 6.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +5.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 52% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.66). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.38 – ¥32.00 · fair‑value band ¥6.40 – ¥10.66 · the ¥17.68 price screens above the ¥8.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Nanxing Machinery Co (002757) currently trades at ¥17.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.53, implying the stock looks roughly 51.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nanxing Machinery Co generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at 70.2M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.40 (bear case) to ¥10.66 (bull case); at ¥17.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -52%, 002757 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥21.39) versus Asset-Based (¥4.57). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nanxing Machinery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, production, sale, and service of woodworking machinery in China and internationally.
Full company description
Nanxing Machinery Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, design, development, production, sale, and service of woodworking machinery in China and internationally. The company offers single- and double-sided edge banders; panel dividing saws and CNC nesting machines; CNC drilling and through-feed drilling machines; packing machines; gantry and cantilever feeder and stackers, turner equipment, and conveyor tables; and nesting and drilling workstations, and edge banding lines. It also provides onsite professional, 24h online quick response, spare parts supplying, and comprehensive training services; and panel furniture, industrial 4,0, software integration, and mass production solutions. In addition, the company engages in the production of metal structural parts, industrial automatic control systems, general equipment, and special packaging equipment; research and development of mechanical equipment, and computer and information technology; data processing and storage support; Internet data and security services; technical development, consultation, exchange, transfer, and promotion; computer network engineering construction and maintenance; network equipment leasing; and computer software and hardware research, development, sales, and maintenance. Further, it is involved in network, information security, and artificial intelligence application software development; computer information system integration; telecommunications business agency; computer network security technical maintenance; Internet access; design and installation of computer information network engineering; mechanical parts and components processing; and sale of information security equipment. The company was formerly known as Nanxing Furniture Machinery & Equipment Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nanxing Machinery Co., Ltd. in June 2016. Nanxing Machinery Co., Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nanxing Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥3.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥120M in FY2025, compounding −19.9%/yr from FY2021.
002757 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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