Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co (002786) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 4.1B CNY

Below-average quality, and screening another 47% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• A fairly wide model range (¥2.76 to ¥6.40) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥4.86 – ¥20.20 · fair‑value band ¥2.76 – ¥6.40 · the ¥7.79 price screens above the ¥4.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co (002786) currently trades at ¥7.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.11, implying the stock looks roughly 47.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co generated revenue of 2.3B CNY at a net margin of -1.4%. Revenue grew 6.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -32.7%. Net debt stands at 519M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥2.76 (bear case) to ¥6.40 (bull case); at ¥7.79, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -47%, 002786 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥2.58) versus Growth DCF (¥0.1600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co., Ltd. provides precision die and molds in China and internationally. The company offers hi-end equipment, such as flight simulator, semi-conductor machine, SMT machine, service robot; automotive products, including checking fixtures and gauges, functional modules, and tooling; precision molding, telecom device, …

Full company description

Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co., Ltd. provides precision die and molds in China and internationally. The company offers hi-end equipment, such as flight simulator, semi-conductor machine, SMT machine, service robot; automotive products, including checking fixtures and gauges, functional modules, and tooling; precision molding, telecom device, automotive device, and consumer electric; automotive components; and metal products. It also provides BTT measuring and testing, such as mold frame processing line, pad printing machine, injection molding inspection workstation, mold frame automated processing line; and BHRT hot-runner technology, hot runner system, and medical product hot runner. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shenzhen Silver Basis Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥2.7B in FY2021, a compound −3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −¥63.2M in FY2025.

002786 screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 251 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.