Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co (002791) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.0B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price +8.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 38% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.69). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥7.10 to ¥13.69) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.10 – ¥233.92 · fair‑value band ¥7.10 – ¥13.69 · the ¥15.63 price screens above the ¥9.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co (002791) currently trades at ¥15.63, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.70, implying the stock looks roughly 37.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co generated revenue of 5.4B CNY at a net margin of -2.0%. Revenue declined 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 892M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.10 (bear case) to ¥13.69 (bull case); at ¥15.63, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -38%, 002791 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 15 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥11.27) versus Dividend Discount (¥4.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of construction and building products in China, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, and internationally.
Full company description
Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of construction and building products in China, Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers door and window accessories, engineering hardware, premium hardware, kitchen and bathroom, smart home, smart community, chemical building materials, decorative materials, lighting fixtures, electrical materials, transparent led, mechanical and electrical equipment, and sanitation equipment; and integrated solutions, such as residential apartments, hotels/resorts, commercial complex, educational buildings, rail transit, medical buildings, cultural and sports architecture, and factory/industrial park. It provides product integration; service integration; warehousing, logistics, and construction integration; and installation and delivery services, as well as interior design and construction services for commercial venues, office spaces, and public buildings, including planning, design, construction, and after-sales operation. The company also exports its products. Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dongguan, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co reported revenue of ¥5.5B in FY2025 versus ¥8.8B in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −¥100M in FY2025.
002791 screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Techtronic Industries Company →
Peer Group
Tools & Accessories · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Tools & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Tools & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic Industries Company 0669 | HK$129.60 | HK$81.05 | -37% |
| Snap-on Incorporated SNA | $410.99 | $350.46 | -15% |
| RBC Bearings Incorporated RBC | $595.49 | $184.29 | -69% |
| Lincoln Electric Holdings LECO | $252.58 | $154.80 | -39% |
| Stanley Black & Decker, Inc SWK | $88.22 | $54.24 | -39% |
| AB SKF (publ) SKFB | kr 258.90 | kr 192.57 | -26% |
| The Timken Company TKR | $139.47 | $66.33 | -52% |
| The Toro Company TTC | $94.42 | $69.71 | -26% |
| SFS Group SFSN | CHF 140.00 | CHF 118.30 | -16% |
| Hangzhou Greatstar Industrial Co 002444 | ¥29.33 | ¥35.72 | +22% |
Compare Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co (002791) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002791?
What is the quality score of 002791?
What is the revenue of Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co (002791)?
What is the net profit margin of 002791?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Guangdong KinLong Hardware Products Co and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.