Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co (002833) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 7.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 7, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 7, 2026, revised from ¥19.35 to ¥19.13 (−1.1%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥14.48 (bear) to ¥23.78 (bull), base ¥19.13. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥10.21 – ¥24.65 · fair‑value band ¥14.48 – ¥23.78 · the ¥18.10 price screens below the ¥19.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 7, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co (002833) currently trades at ¥18.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥19.13, implying the stock looks roughly 5.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co generated revenue of 2.6B CNY at a net margin of 17.4%. Revenue grew 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 221M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥14.48 (bear case) to ¥23.78 (bull case); at ¥18.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 6%, 002833 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥31.82) versus Asset-Based (¥4.53). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 52
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development and manufacturing of CNC furniture equipment in China and internationally. The company offers CNC panel saw, including rear and front loading, reciprocating panel, and precision panel saw; machining centers; banding machines; drilling centers; and automated production lines.
Full company description
Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development and manufacturing of CNC furniture equipment in China and internationally. The company offers CNC panel saw, including rear and front loading, reciprocating panel, and precision panel saw; machining centers; banding machines; drilling centers; and automated production lines. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Guangzhou KDT Machinery Group Co., Ltd. in August 2025. Guangzhou KDT Machinery Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥2.4B in FY2025 versus ¥2.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥431M in FY2025, compounding −4.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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