Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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HYHubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd002861 · SHE
Price¥14.85
Fair Value¥2.59
Upside−82.5%
Quality33/100
Below-average quality, and trading another 473% above our fair value of ¥2.59.
As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd is ¥2.59 per share against a price of ¥14.85, so the fair value sits 83% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −6.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.0% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 15 out of 100
Evidence: LowRange ¥1.86 to ¥3.33
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −9.0% over the past month.
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.55 – ¥22.83 · fair‑value band ¥1.86 – ¥3.33 · the ¥14.85 price screens above the ¥2.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861) currently trades at ¥14.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.59, implying the stock looks roughly 472.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥3.83 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the ¥14.85 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.73, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd generated revenue of 885M CNY at a net margin of −9.0%. Revenue grew 25.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −7.4%. Net debt stands at 73.6M CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Scenario range: ¥1.86 (bear) to ¥3.33 (bull), the price of ¥14.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −52% fair-value upside, at −83%, 002861 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
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Key figures & financial health
P/S ratio3.88TTM
EPS (TTM)¥−0.4400
Dividend yield0.7%
Net margin−8.3%FY2025
Return on equity−7.4%TTM
Return on assets (EBIT)−3.1%avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin−8.0%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)885M CNYTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+25.9%3y avg +5.2%
EPS growth (YoY)−84.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−96.1M CNYFY2025
Net debt73.6M CNYFY2024
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality33/100
Of which business quality 37
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Profitability11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow10
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum24
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance8
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
YingTong Telecommunication Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, marketing, and sale of communication cables, and headphone cables and accessories in China and internationally.
Full company description
YingTong Telecommunication Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, production, marketing, and sale of communication cables, and headphone cables and accessories in China and internationally. The company offers communication cables, such as enamel wires, earphone cables, luminous/reflective cables, special shape cables, teflon cables, medical cables, USB, and HDMI cables; data cables; earphones; speakers; and wireless chargers. Its products are used in mobile communications terminal products, personal computers, audio and video equipment, and other intelligent terminal products. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Xianning, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd reported revenue of 843M CNY in FY2025 versus 1.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −70.3M CNY in FY2025.
Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
843M CNY
Latest YoY
+3.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (14Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
EBIT margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.6% (2020) → −4.1% (2025)
Value creation/yr ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE0· sector 0
FUTURE100· sector 39
PAST0· sector 15
HEALTH94· sector 98
DIVIDEND15· sector 24
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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Is Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.59 versus a price of ¥14.85, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002861?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd is ¥2.59 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.85.
What is the quality score of 002861?
Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.59 (as of Sep 3, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥1.86, optimistic scenario ¥3.33. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.59, about −83% upside versus a price of ¥14.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥1.86, optimistic scenario ¥3.33. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861)?
Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 885M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002861?
The net profit margin of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd is about −9.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.73% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd it is ¥2.59 per share (as of Sep 3, 2026), against a price of ¥14.85. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 3, 2026, 002861 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.85, fair value ¥2.59, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 002861?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.59). For Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd the two are ¥12.26 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd worth?
The market values Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd at about 3.4B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 3, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.85; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 002861?
Our models span a range for Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd: cautious scenario ¥1.86, base ¥2.59, optimistic ¥3.33 per share (as of Sep 3, 2026, price ¥14.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (002861)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd (as of Sep 3, 2026): return on equity −7.4%, debt of 0.13 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 002861 from its 52-week high?
Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd trades at ¥14.85, about 32% below its 52-week high of ¥21.75 and 5% above the low of ¥14.14 (as of Sep 3, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Cisco Systems, Inc, Zhongji Innolight Co, Foxconn Industrial Internet Co, Eoptolink Technology Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 3, 2026: price ¥14.85, calculated fair value ¥2.59 (−83%), Quality Score 33/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 002861 calculated?
We run Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Hubei Yingtong Telecommunication Cable Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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