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Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co (002884) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.8B CNY

GL Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co 002884 · SHE
Price¥16.11
Fair Value¥21.62
Upside+34.2%
Quality83/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Wide moat 80/100
Evidence: High Range ¥16.22 – ¥27.03 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥24.72 to ¥21.62 (−12.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

A strong business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (83/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • Our model range runs from ¥16.22 (bear) to ¥27.03 (bull), base ¥21.62. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 83/100 (high quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥21.26 ¥11.87 Fair Value ¥21.62 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥11.87 – ¥21.26 · fair‑value band ¥16.22 – ¥27.03 · the ¥16.11 price screens below the ¥21.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co (002884) currently trades at ¥16.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.62, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co generated revenue of 1.7B CNY at a net margin of 26.4%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 423M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥16.22 (bear case) to ¥27.03 (bull case); at ¥16.11, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 34%, 002884 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.77 ¥9.46 ¥20.55 76
Growth DCF ¥17.05 ¥24.97 ¥36.89 72
Gordon GGM ¥8.78 ¥17.50 ¥26.50 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥16.97 ¥25.17 ¥37.72 38
Owner Earnings ¥17.87 ¥26.61 ¥39.98 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥11.88 ¥16.07 ¥21.35 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.47 ¥24.94 ¥34.99 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥19.75 ¥31.27 ¥43.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.43 ¥17.75 ¥23.51 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥16.51 ¥23.88 ¥34.00 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥18.58 ¥28.25 ¥40.71 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥8.65 ¥31.19 ¥42.05 54
Lynch FV ¥7.38 ¥10.54 ¥13.71 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥7.38 ¥10.54 ¥13.71 46
EPV ¥14.01 ¥15.70 ¥17.16 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥8.78 ¥17.50 ¥26.50 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥8.78 ¥15.12 ¥18.47 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥20.03 ¥26.71 ¥33.39 63
P/S Multiple ¥7.22 ¥9.63 ¥12.04 58
P/B Multiple ¥16.22 ¥21.62 ¥27.03 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.93 ¥26.81 ¥32.70 53
EV/EBITDA ¥17.66 ¥22.46 ¥27.26 54
EV/Revenue ¥9.34 ¥11.94 ¥14.54 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥3.38 ¥4.53 ¥6.75 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥17.05 ¥24.97 ¥36.89 72
Rev-Margin DCF ¥11.88 ¥16.19 ¥21.40 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.77 ¥9.46 ¥20.55 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.86 ¥17.78 ¥21.10 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.03 ¥20.05 ¥26.06 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥24.94) versus Asset-Based (¥4.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.4%
Net margin 26.4%
Return on equity 19.2%
Free cash flow 436M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 12.9
More key figures
Operating margin 26.6%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.25
EPS growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net cash 423M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 83/100

Of which business quality 80 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 71
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 41
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, and development, design, production and sale of pumps in China and internationally.

Full company description

Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, and development, design, production and sale of pumps in China and internationally. The company offers SPA, swimming pool, stainless centrifugal, and seawater pumps; industry in-line pump; stainless steel pumps, including horizontal single-stage, horizontal multi-stage, and vertical multi-stage stainless steel pumps; fitness and entertainment pumps; thermostat; submersible pumps, such as clean water, sewage submersible, submerged, and well submersible pumps; household cast iron pumps comprising no-self priming, self priming, and auto booster pumps; inline pumps; variable frequency constant pressure water supply equipment; and IEC motors. Its products are used in reverse osmosis water treatment, central air conditioning, frequency conversion constant pressure water supply, machine tool, massage bath crock, integration of domestic pool, mariculture, fountain, sewage treatment, irrigation, ornamental fish pond, solar hot water circulation, household water pressurization, agricultural cultivation of water supply, aquaculture, water heater pressurized, fan, air compressor, and woodworking machinery applications. Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1977 and is based in Yangchun, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co reported revenue of ¥1.7B in FY2025 versus ¥2.1B in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥455M in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 76/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+8.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y)
+9.6%
Revenue −4.4%/yr
FY21 ¥2.1B
FY22 ¥1.5B
FY23 ¥1.3B
FY24 ¥1.6B
FY25 ¥1.7B
Net income −1.5%/yr
FY21 ¥483M
FY22 ¥422M
FY23 ¥384M
FY24 ¥442M
FY25 ¥455M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002884

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +34% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.39× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.35× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 79 · sector 0
FUTURE 32 · sector 23
PAST 77 · sector 28
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co (002884) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.62 versus a price of ¥16.11, about +34% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 002884?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co is ¥21.62 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥16.11.
What is the quality score of 002884?
Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co (002884)?
Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002884?
The net profit margin of Guangdong Lingxiao Pump Industry Co is about 26.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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