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Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co (002890) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.6B CNY

SH Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co 002890 · SHE
Price¥12.20
Fair Value¥6.57
Upside-46.2%
Quality45/100
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Evidence: High Range ¥5.28 – ¥8.53 📤 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥0.9700 to ¥6.57 (+577.3%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −16.4% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

¥17.51 ¥12.20 Fair Value ¥6.57 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range ¥12.20 – ¥17.51 · fair‑value band ¥5.28 – ¥8.53 · the ¥12.20 price screens above the ¥6.57 fair value. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co (002890) currently trades at ¥12.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.57, implying the stock looks roughly 46.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co generated revenue of 302M CNY at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 1.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 81.4M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥5.28 (bear case) to ¥8.53 (bull case); at ¥12.20, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -38% fair-value upside, at -46%, 002890 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 302M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.8%
Net margin 3.6%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow −55.8M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 252.2
More key figures
Operating margin 7.1%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.0600
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.5%
Net cash 81.4M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, sale, and service of agricultural machinery parts and components in China and internationally. It offers electric control lifters, hydraulic lifts and cylinders, control valves, and casting products. Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Shandong Hongyu Agricultural Machinery Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. in November 2023. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Laizhou, China.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co reported revenue of ¥300M in FY2025 versus ¥410M in FY2021, a compound −7.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥10.4M in FY2025, compounding −19.6%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue −7.6%/yr
FY21 ¥410M
FY22 ¥398M
FY23 ¥364M
FY24 ¥322M
FY25 ¥300M
Net income −19.6%/yr
FY21 ¥24.7M
FY22 ¥22.6M
FY23 ¥21.5M
FY24 ¥16.9M
FY25 ¥10.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002890

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co (002890) undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.57 versus a price of ¥12.20, about −46% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 002890?
Our model-based fair value for Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co is ¥6.57 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥12.20.
What is the quality score of 002890?
Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co has a Quality Score of 45/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co (002890)?
Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 302M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002890?
The net profit margin of Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co is about 3.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co pay a dividend?
Shandong Hongyu Precision Machinery Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.