QiaoYin City Management Co (002973) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 22, 2026, revised from ¥10.73 to ¥9.45 (−11.9%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +12.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from ¥7.09 (bear) to ¥11.82 (bull), base ¥9.45. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 47/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥7.09 – ¥22.84 · fair‑value band ¥7.09 – ¥11.82 · the ¥11.22 price screens above the ¥9.45 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
QiaoYin City Management Co (002973) currently trades at ¥11.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.45, implying the stock looks roughly 15.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, QiaoYin City Management Co generated revenue of 3.5B CNY at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 9.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at 2.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.09 (bear case) to ¥11.82 (bull case); at ¥11.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at -16%, 002973 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.71) versus Asset-Based (¥4.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
QiaoYin City Management Co., Ltd. engages in the environmental protection and sanitation management business in China. The company provides soil remediation, sewage treatment, air purification, sludge, and hazardous waste treatment services.
Full company description
QiaoYin City Management Co., Ltd. engages in the environmental protection and sanitation management business in China. The company provides soil remediation, sewage treatment, air purification, sludge, and hazardous waste treatment services. It also offers integrated urban and rural environmental services; sanitation engineering construction; water area, municipal, and landscaping maintenance; construction waste and pollutant treatment; public property management; urban renewal, energy management, and green transportation services; and intelligent operation equipment and services. The company was formerly known as QiaoYin Environmental Tech.Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Qiaoyin City Management Co., Ltd. in December 2020. QiaoYin City Management Co., Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
QiaoYin City Management Co reported revenue of ¥3.6B in FY2025 versus ¥3.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥184M in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.
002973 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Waste Management, Inc →
Peer Group
Waste Management · 169 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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