EN DE

Maxvision Technology Corp (002990) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · CN · Market cap 14.2B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE100003XX3

What is Maxvision Technology Corp really worth?

MT Maxvision Technology Corp 002990 · SHE
Price¥46.76
Fair Value¥9.12
Upside−80.5%
Quality57/100

A solid business, but trading 413% above our fair value of ¥9.12.

As of Aug 13, 2026, the fair value of Maxvision Technology Corp is ¥9.12 per share against a price of ¥46.76, so the fair value sits 81% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

Watch Maxvision Technology Corp for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free

Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +9.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 10 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 4 out of 100

For context

·0.21% dividend yield
Evidence: Low Range ¥6.84 – ¥11.40

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥6.82 to ¥9.12 (+33.7%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price +4.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥11.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥79.00 ¥16.89 Fair Value ¥9.12 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥16.89 – ¥79.00 · fair‑value band ¥6.84 – ¥11.40 · the ¥46.76 price screens above the ¥9.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Maxvision Technology Corp (002990) currently trades at ¥46.76, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.12, implying the stock looks roughly 412.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥17.60 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥46.76 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥3.37, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Maxvision Technology Corp generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.84 (bear case) to ¥11.40 (bull case); at ¥46.76, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at −81%, 002990 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0819 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥10.93 ¥15.74 ¥28.13 78
Growth DCF ¥10.75 ¥16.80 ¥26.54 77
Owner Earnings ¥8.26 ¥11.74 ¥18.53 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥10.93 ¥15.74 ¥28.13 78
Owner Earnings ¥8.26 ¥11.74 ¥18.53 76
5Y Revenue Exit ¥12.55 ¥20.16 ¥31.27 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥15.54 ¥26.91 ¥42.32 74
5Y P/E Exit ¥11.41 ¥17.60 ¥25.24 70
10Y Revenue Exit ¥11.71 ¥19.01 ¥31.53 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥14.07 ¥24.21 ¥41.93 66
10Y P/E Exit ¥11.23 ¥17.04 ¥26.34 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥2.22 ¥13.46 ¥18.78 63
Lynch FV ¥3.85 ¥5.50 ¥7.15 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥3.85 ¥5.50 ¥7.15 57
EPV ¥12.56 ¥13.81 ¥14.91 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥1.92 ¥4.00 ¥6.35 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥1.92 ¥3.37 ¥4.20 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥6.84 ¥9.12 ¥11.40 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.15 ¥5.54 ¥6.92 58
P/B Multiple ¥4.15 ¥5.54 ¥6.92 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.81 ¥26.06 ¥31.31 66
EV/EBITDA ¥18.05 ¥22.37 ¥26.70 67
EV/Revenue ¥13.03 ¥16.44 ¥19.85 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.75 ¥6.37 ¥9.51 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥10.75 ¥16.80 ¥26.54 77
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.55 ¥19.76 ¥29.99 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.02 ¥6.94 ¥6.11 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.09 ¥18.18 ¥23.55 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥6.42 ¥9.17 ¥11.92 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥17.60) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.37). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

Notify me when 002990 reaches fair value

Put 002990 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.

Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 212.5
P/S ratio 12.5 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.2200 price ÷ EPS = P/E 212.5
Dividend yield 0.2% payout 45.5%
Net margin 5.9% FY2025
Return on equity 2.4% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 1.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 1.4B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −25.4% 3y avg +13.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −91.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 106M CNY FY2025
Net cash 1.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 33
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Maxvision Technology Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sales of intelligent products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Maxvision Technology Corp., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sales of intelligent products in China and internationally. The company offers identity authentication products, such as face recognition terminal, palm vein identity, fingerprint capture, biometric information capture, ID/travel document reader, e-gate, and visitor manager; passenger security products, including security checking, immigration authority, and customs authority; cargo security comprising non-intrusive inspection and in-transit supervision; and vehicle security products. It also provides intelligent transportation comprising traffic safety, efficiency, and services, as well as intelligent transportation management system platform; intelligent robot, such as firefighting, cleaning, and under-vehicle inspection robots; and intelligent algorithms, including servers and AI algorithms. In addition, the company offers smart transportation, port, airport, seaport, and campus solutions; intelligent system solutions; and deployment and maintenance services. Maxvision Technology Corp. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maxvision Technology Corp reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 85.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding −16.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.4B CNY
Latest YoY
+18.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−3.8% · in CNY
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−4.0%
Dividend yield0.2%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −19.1% vs 10Y 2.7%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27.4% (2020) → 15.9% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop61% (2022) · in CNY
Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY21 1.1B CNY
FY22 989M CNY
FY23 1.6B CNY
FY24 1.2B CNY
FY25 1.4B CNY
Net income −16.9%/yr
FY21 179M CNY
FY22 96.7M CNY
FY23 198M CNY
FY24 175M CNY
FY25 85.3M CNY

002990 screens 413% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

Share or link this analysis
𝕏 Post WhatsApp LinkedIn Reddit
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maxvision Technology Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/002990.SHE

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth −25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 212.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 5.72× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 10.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 20.1× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 49
PAST10 · sector 15
HEALTH100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND4 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $480.35 $365.74 −24%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $151.94 $117.84 −22%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $166.00 $61.46 −63%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $442.61 $101.19 −77%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 −36%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $105.26 $71.79 −32%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $190.64 $154.83 −19%
Adyen N.V ADYEN €1,007 €707.53 −30%
MongoDB, Inc MDB $440.58 $93.91 −79%
Okta, Inc OKTA $166.23 $30.50 −82%

Compare Maxvision Technology Corp with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Technology stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screener Filter by region, size and sector Compare tool Two stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator (Options) Splits an option premium into intrinsic and extrinsic (time) value. Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula & Calculator Apply Peter Lynch's fair value formula in seconds: fair P/E ≈ earnings growth (+ dividend) - free, with formula and example.

Frequently asked questions

Is Maxvision Technology Corp (002990) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.12 versus a price of ¥46.76, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 002990?
Our model-based fair value for Maxvision Technology Corp is ¥9.12 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥46.76.
What is the quality score of 002990?
Maxvision Technology Corp has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Maxvision Technology Corp (002990)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥9.12 (as of Aug 13, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.84, optimistic scenario ¥11.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Maxvision Technology Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥9.12, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥46.76 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.84, optimistic scenario ¥11.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Maxvision Technology Corp (002990)?
Maxvision Technology Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 002990?
The net profit margin of Maxvision Technology Corp is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Maxvision Technology Corp pay a dividend?
Maxvision Technology Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.21% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
Free · no account needed

Watch Maxvision Technology Corp in the live analysis

One click puts Maxvision Technology Corp on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.