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Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co (003011) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 2.0B CNY

ZW Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co 003011 · SHE
Price¥19.80
Fair Value¥21.31
Upside+7.6%
Quality67/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 7.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.08% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range ¥15.91 – ¥26.64 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 19 days ago

Share price +6.1% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from ¥15.91 (bear) to ¥26.64 (bull), base ¥21.31. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.65 ¥10.49 Fair Value ¥21.31 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.49 – ¥38.65 · fair‑value band ¥15.91 – ¥26.64 · the ¥19.80 price screens below the ¥21.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co (003011) currently trades at ¥19.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.31, implying the stock looks roughly 7.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co generated revenue of 1.2B CNY at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.1%. Net debt stands at 204M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.91 (bear case) to ¥26.64 (bull case); at ¥19.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 8%, 003011 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥15.52 ¥19.14 ¥25.15 80
Residual Income ¥10.59 ¥11.00 ¥11.07 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.48 ¥16.81 ¥22.37 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥15.13 ¥18.92 ¥25.78 38
Owner Earnings ¥10.31 ¥12.77 ¥17.24 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥12.48 ¥16.45 ¥22.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥19.31 ¥28.10 ¥40.05 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥15.12 ¥20.95 ¥28.14 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥13.32 ¥16.57 ¥20.09 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥17.37 ¥23.46 ¥30.21 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥15.02 ¥19.23 ¥23.38 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.59 ¥9.96 ¥11.86 54
EPV ¥14.14 ¥15.88 ¥17.34 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥5.10 ¥5.77 ¥6.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥5.10 ¥6.32 ¥7.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.98 ¥21.31 ¥26.64 63
P/S Multiple ¥10.57 ¥14.10 ¥17.62 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.35 ¥16.47 ¥20.58 55
EV/EBIT ¥25.33 ¥33.33 ¥41.32 53
EV/EBITDA ¥25.93 ¥34.13 ¥42.32 54
EV/Revenue ¥11.22 ¥15.45 ¥19.68 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.87 ¥9.20 ¥13.73 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥15.52 ¥19.14 ¥25.15 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥12.48 ¥16.81 ¥22.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥10.59 ¥11.00 ¥11.07 76
ROIC Compounder ¥14.15 ¥16.10 ¥18.08 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥11.27 ¥16.10 ¥20.92 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥18.92) versus Dividend Discount (¥5.77). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.6%
Net margin 7.2%
Return on equity 6.1%
Free cash flow 171M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 22.7
More key figures
Operating margin 7.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.8500
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -54.2%
Net debt 204M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 73
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of PVC flooring products in China and internationally.

Full company description

Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of PVC flooring products in China and internationally. The company offers luxury vinyl tile, wood plastic composite, and stone plastic composite flooring products to be used in shopping malls, hotels, hospitals, office buildings, stadiums, and residential places. It is also involved in wholesale and retail trade. The company was founded in 2013 and is based in Haining, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co reported revenue of ¥1.2B in FY2025 versus ¥1.8B in FY2021, a compound −9.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥99.5M in FY2025, compounding +0.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2B CNY
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.8%
Revenue −9.5%/yr
FY21 ¥1.8B
FY22 ¥1.9B
FY23 ¥1.6B
FY24 ¥1.4B
FY25 ¥1.2B
Net income +0.6%/yr
FY21 ¥97.0M
FY22 ¥212M
FY23 ¥45.6M
FY24 ¥50.1M
FY25 ¥99.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/003011

Peer Group

Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 311 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +8% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth -1% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.41× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.65× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 24 · sector 19
HEALTH 97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 62 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Midea Group 000333 ¥82.71 ¥107.22 +30%
Gree Electric Appliances, Inc 000651 ¥38.25 ¥88.02 +130%
Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥21.46 ¥36.04 +68%
King Slide Works Co 2059 8,655 TWD 1,917 TWD -78%
Guangdong Songfa Ceramics Co 603268 ¥155.59 ¥38.95 -75%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $154.53 $89.07 -42%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.33 ¥48.03 +82%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥43.85 ¥44.84 +2%
COWAY Co 021240 96,700 KRW 112,530 KRW +16%
Ecovacs Robotics Co 603486 ¥50.13 ¥54.11 +8%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co (003011) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.31 versus a price of ¥19.80, about +8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 003011?
Our model-based fair value for Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co is ¥21.31 (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥19.80.
What is the quality score of 003011?
Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co (003011)?
Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 003011?
The net profit margin of Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co pay a dividend?
Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.08% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 22, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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