Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co (003033) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 4.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 19 days ago
Share price −3.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 45% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥45.53). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥18.04 to ¥45.53) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥18.21 – ¥85.82 · fair‑value band ¥18.04 – ¥45.53 · the ¥65.00 price screens above the ¥35.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.
Analysis
Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co (003033) currently trades at ¥65.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥35.54, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co generated revenue of 2.0B CNY at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 6.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at 230M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥18.04 (bear case) to ¥45.53 (bull case); at ¥65.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 66% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -45%, 003033 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥41.95) versus Dividend Discount (¥7.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of chain transmission systems in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Transmission Systems; Agricultural Machinery Transmission and Conveyor Systems; and Industrial Equipment Transmission and Conveyor Systems.
Full company description
Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co.,Ltd. engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of chain transmission systems in China and internationally. It operates through three segments: Transmission Systems; Agricultural Machinery Transmission and Conveyor Systems; and Industrial Equipment Transmission and Conveyor Systems. The company offers engine chain systems, including automotive, motorcycle, and other engine chains; industrial chain systems, such as driving, conveyor, leaf, engineering, and special chains, as well as industrial sprockets and links; and agricultural machinery chain systems comprising agricultural chains, chain assemblies, chain links, and machinery sprockets. It also provides motorcycle chain systems, including Zenming chain systems, modification series products, motorcycle drive chains and sprockets, and maintenance tools; bicycle chain systems, such as e-bike chains, and bicycle chains and chain sets; saw chain systems; and tillage parts, including plough shares, alloy knives, and rotary blades. In addition, the company offers chain-type intelligent equipment, including pushing-chain lifting platforms and chain push devices. It serves customers in vehicle, agriculture and forestry, logistics, automation, engineering, and other fields. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Qingdao CHOHO Industrial Co reported revenue of ¥1.9B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound +9.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥175M in FY2025, compounding +22.1%/yr from FY2021.
003033 screens 45% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →
Peer Group
Auto Parts · 642 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 482,000 KRW | 678,420 KRW | +41% |
| Magna International Inc MGAN | 1,122 MXN | 1,172 MXN | +4% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹144.17 | ₹80.63 | -44% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹41,110 | ₹14,004 | -66% |
| Bharat Forge Limited BHARATFORG | ₹2,117 | ₹441.74 | -79% |
| Uno Minda Limited UNOMINDA | ₹1,158 | ₹426.57 | -63% |
| Schaeffler India Limited SCHAEFFLER | ₹4,135 | ₹1,412 | -66% |
| Hankook Tire & Technology Co 161390 | 73,600 KRW | 196,479 KRW | +167% |
| MRF Limited MRF | ₹131,025 | ₹125,849 | -4% |
| Sona BLW Precision Forgings Limited SONACOMS | ₹792.00 | ₹207.06 | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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