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Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd KRW 38,889, price KRW 43,100, upside -9.8%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · KR · ISIN KR7004000006

LF Some data Sep 24, 2026

Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd

004000 · KO

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value 38,889 KRW · Overvalued (−10%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +6.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.7% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·3.48% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/10)
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

81,797 KRW 29,811 KRW Fair Value 38,889 KRW Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 29,811 KRW – 81,797 KRW · fair‑value band 26,255 KRW – 51,886 KRW · the 43,100 KRW price screens above the 38,889 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

LOTTE Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells chemical products in South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally.

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LOTTE Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells chemical products in South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, Europe, and internationally. The company offers chlorine relatives, including epichlorohydrin, caustic soda, tetramethyl ammonium chloride, 3-Chloro-2-Hydroxypropyl trimethylammonium chloride, methyl chloride, methylene chloride, methaclean, chloroform, sodium hypochlorite, and hydrochloric acid; ammonia relatives comprising urea solution, ammonia, monomethylamine, dimethylamine, trimethylamine, and trimethylamine-HCL; and toners for printers. It provides green materials, such as cellulose products, under the MECELLOSE, HECELLOSE, AnyCoat, and AnyAddy brand names. LOTTE Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. was formerly known as SAMSUNG Fine Chemicals Co., Ltd. and changed its name to LOTTE Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. in 2016. LOTTE Fine Chemical Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1964 and is based in Ulsan, South Korea.

Stock analysis

Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000) currently trades at 43,100 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38,889 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 70,812 KRW per share, and 12 of the 21 models we run sit above the 43,100 KRW price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at 18,619 KRW, and 9 of the 21 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 26,255 KRW (bear) to 51,886 KRW (bull), the price of 43,100 KRW sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd reported revenue of 1.8T KRW in FY2025 versus 1.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound −0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 106B KRW in FY2025, compounding −34.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 1.1T KRW (≈ $768M) · P/S ratio 0.64 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.8% · Operating margin 6.4% · Revenue (TTM) 1.8T KRW.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −10%, 004000 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 26,255 KRW Fair Value 38,889 KRW Bull 51,886 KRW
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 15,323 KRW 18,430 KRW 24,219 KRW 82
Growth DCF 15,641 KRW 18,619 KRW 23,686 KRW 80
Residual Income 67,638 KRW 65,865 KRW 56,023 KRW 76
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 15,323 KRW 18,430 KRW 24,219 KRW 82
5Y Revenue Exit 22,645 KRW 32,638 KRW 47,681 KRW 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 43,170 KRW 67,420 KRW 100,504 KRW 74
5Y P/E Exit 34,723 KRW 53,106 KRW 75,653 KRW 70
10Y Revenue Exit 18,735 KRW 26,361 KRW 35,126 KRW 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 30,843 KRW 47,227 KRW 66,103 KRW 68
10Y P/E Exit 26,108 KRW 38,640 KRW 51,530 KRW 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 28,325 KRW 45,616 KRW 55,029 KRW 67
EPV 22,628 KRW 25,220 KRW 27,381 KRW 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 53,109 KRW 70,812 KRW 88,515 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 53,109 KRW 70,812 KRW 88,515 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 53,109 KRW 70,812 KRW 88,515 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 34,308 KRW 44,538 KRW 54,768 KRW 66
EV/EBITDA 73,939 KRW 97,380 KRW 120,821 KRW 67
EV/Revenue 30,216 KRW 41,615 KRW 53,014 KRW 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 47,816 KRW 64,073 KRW 95,632 KRW 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 15,641 KRW 18,619 KRW 23,686 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 22,645 KRW 32,938 KRW 45,774 KRW 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income 67,638 KRW 65,865 KRW 56,023 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 22,628 KRW 25,220 KRW 27,381 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 37,835 KRW 54,050 KRW 70,265 KRW 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 78
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.2% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in KRW ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in KRW: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−8.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 4%

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+23.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (South Korea: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +20.4% a year for the price and +2.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+14.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+1.6%
Projected 2028 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2029 (sales)+1.7%
Projected 2030 (sales)+1.8%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 350 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.03× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)73 · sector 24
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)70 · sector 31

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Dow Inc DOW $28.20 $21.03 −25%
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Zangge Mining Company 000408 ¥73.50 ¥80.85 +10%
Ganfeng Lithium Group 002460 ¥46.39 ¥16.17 −65%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,620 IDR 1,581 IDR −2%
Hengli Petrochemical Co 600346 ¥16.54 ¥43.28 +162%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004000

Frequently asked questions

Is Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38,889 KRW versus a price of 43,100 KRW, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 004000?
Our model-based fair value for Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 38,889 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 43,100 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004000?
Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 38,889 KRW (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 21 valuation models. Cautious scenario 26,255 KRW, optimistic scenario 51,886 KRW. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 38,889 KRW, about −10% upside versus a price of 43,100 KRW (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 26,255 KRW, optimistic scenario 51,886 KRW. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8T KRW (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +23.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 004000 use?
Our models discount Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.75, country premium for South Korea. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd that is +23.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd grew +6.8 % a year. The price currently implies +23.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (+23.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.67 %: that much free cash flow Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd it is 38,889 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 43,100 KRW. It is the blended result of 21 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 004000 trades above its calculated fair value: price 43,100 KRW, fair value 38,889 KRW, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 004000?
No. The price is what the market pays today (43,100 KRW); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (38,889 KRW). For Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd the two are 4,211 KRW per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd worth?
The market values Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd at about 1.1T KRW (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 43,100 KRW; our models calculate a fair value of 38,889 KRW per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 004000?
Our models span a range for Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd: cautious scenario 26,255 KRW, base 38,889 KRW, optimistic 51,886 KRW per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 43,100 KRW). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.03 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 004000 from its 52-week high?
Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd trades at 43,100 KRW, about 39% below its 52-week high of 71,200 KRW and 6% above the low of 40,735 KRW (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 38,889 KRW is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 43,100 KRW, calculated fair value 38,889 KRW (−10%), Quality Score 57/100, from 21 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 004000 calculated?
We run Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd through 21 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 38,889 KRW, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 43,100 KRW. Our model-based fair value is 38,889 KRW, about −10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (26,255 KRW to 51,886 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The market capitalisation of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 1.1T KRW (≈ $768M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 0.64 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The dividend yield of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 3.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The net margin of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 6.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 6.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
The operating margin of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
Revenue at Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is growing +14.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000)?
Earnings per share at Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd are growing +57.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd (004000) carry?
The net debt of Lotte Fine Chemical Co Ltd is 70.7B KRW (fiscal year 2019, ≈ 2.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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