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Korea Petroleum Industries Company (004090) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · KR · Market cap 152B KRW

KP Korea Petroleum Industries Company 004090 · KO
Price10,740 KRW
Fair Value9,875 KRW
Upside-8.1%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.02% dividend yield
Trails peers (2/10)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: Medium Range 7,406 KRW – 12,343 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 6,982 KRW to 9,875 KRW (+41.4%) since Jul 22, 2026. Share price −5.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Our model range runs from 7,406 KRW (bear) to 12,343 KRW (bull), base 9,875 KRW. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

28,150 KRW 8,217 KRW Fair Value 9,875 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 8,217 KRW – 28,150 KRW · fair‑value band 7,406 KRW – 12,343 KRW · the 10,740 KRW price screens above the 9,875 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Korea Petroleum Industries Company (004090) currently trades at 10,740 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 9,875 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 8.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Korea Petroleum Industries Company generated revenue of 709B KRW at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. Net debt stands at 127B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 7,406 KRW (bear case) to 12,343 KRW (bull case); at 10,740 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -8%, 004090 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 11,502 KRW 11,041 KRW 9,036 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 4,073 KRW 5,192 KRW 6,172 KRW 72
Growth-Adj P/E 4,314 KRW 6,162 KRW 8,011 KRW 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 2,793 KRW 8,048 KRW 10,617 KRW 54
Lynch FV 1,659 KRW 2,370 KRW 3,081 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 1,659 KRW 2,370 KRW 3,081 KRW 46
EPV 4,073 KRW 5,192 KRW 6,172 KRW 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 5,236 KRW 6,982 KRW 8,727 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 5,236 KRW 6,982 KRW 8,727 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 5,236 KRW 6,982 KRW 8,727 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 7,153 KRW 10,419 KRW 13,684 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 8,532 KRW 12,257 KRW 15,983 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 5,847 KRW 9,486 KRW 13,124 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8,047 KRW 10,783 KRW 16,094 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 11,502 KRW 11,041 KRW 9,036 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 4,073 KRW 5,192 KRW 6,172 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 4,314 KRW 6,162 KRW 8,011 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (10,783 KRW) versus Earnings-Based (2,370 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 709B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow −32.3B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 2.4%
More key figures
Dividend yield 1.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -89.3%
Net debt 127B KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 71
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 74
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Korea Petroleum Industries Company manufactures and sells asphalt, solvents, and building materials in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through four divisions: Asphalt Sector, Synthetic Resin Sector, Chemical Sector, and Other Sectors.

Full company description

Korea Petroleum Industries Company manufactures and sells asphalt, solvents, and building materials in South Korea and internationally. The company operates through four divisions: Asphalt Sector, Synthetic Resin Sector, Chemical Sector, and Other Sectors. It offers brown asphalt; and construction materials, including tar and water base polyurethane, water stops, sheet membranes, tapes, cold patches, sealants, emulsions, primers, ceramic powders, and other materials. The company also provides chemical products; refrigerants; waterproofing materials; and binders, waxes, water reducing agents, and others. Its products are used in architecture, civil engineering, chemical products, plastics, sports goods, and other applications. The company serves construction, manufacturers, electronics, films, adhesives, paints, cosmetics, and other companies. Korea Petroleum Industries Company was founded in 1964 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Korea Petroleum Industries Company reported revenue of 697B KRW in FY2025 versus 629B KRW in FY2021, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was 5.2B KRW in FY2025, compounding −17.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 37/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
697B KRW
Latest YoY
−4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.6%
Revenue +2.6%/yr
FY21 629B KRW
FY22 748B KRW
FY23 679B KRW
FY24 726B KRW
FY25 697B KRW
Net income −17.7%/yr
FY21 11.3B KRW
FY22 11.1B KRW
FY23 14.8B KRW
FY24 13.1B KRW
FY25 5.2B KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Korea Petroleum Industries Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/004090

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 23 · sector 27
FUTURE 38 · sector 2
PAST 14 · sector 15
HEALTH 89 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Korea Petroleum Industries Company (004090) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 9,875 KRW versus a price of 10,740 KRW, about −8% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 004090?
Our model-based fair value for Korea Petroleum Industries Company is 9,875 KRW (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 10,740 KRW.
What is the quality score of 004090?
Korea Petroleum Industries Company has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Korea Petroleum Industries Company (004090)?
Korea Petroleum Industries Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 709B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 004090?
The net profit margin of Korea Petroleum Industries Company is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Korea Petroleum Industries Company pay a dividend?
Korea Petroleum Industries Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.99% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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